Why Kasparov knew back in 2008 that Ukraine would be next:

Profile picture of Marijn Markus

Marijn Markus

AI Lead | Managing Data Scientist | Public Speaker

Universiteit Utrecht  

Capgemini

Rotterdam, South Holland, Netherlands 

June 30, 2026

🎙 Why Kasparov knew back in 2008 that Ukraine would be next:
“I just listened to Putin. In 2005 he declared the collapse of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century. In Munich 2007 he told Bush and Western leaders — NATO must go back to 1997 borders.

After the war against Georgia in 2008 I wrote — next is Ukraine. People asked how I knew. I looked at the map. He published the Novorossiya map himself. Putin’s plans to restore the Russian Empire were never a secret. He always told everyone exactly what he would do.”

Video here :

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/marijnmarkus_why-kasparov-knew-back-in-2008-that-ukraine-activity-7477398441229365249-oOOy?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAAbzsX4Bd5uGRRvx_FE5Zra0KIdYj1g_WBs

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🎯 Ukraine is reported to be systematically targeting fluid catalytic cracking units at Russian oil refineries, aiming to destroy complex machinery that Russia can’t repair itself and may take years to replace. As a result, the current fuel crisis may be a prolonged one.

Similar serious damage has also been inflicted on the Yaroslavl and Ryazan refineries, with diesel production at Yaroslavl completely disabled “for a very long time”. The two refineries had previously been principal suppliers of fuel to Moscow.

According to VChK-OGPU, the recent drone attacks on Moscow’s Kapotnya oil refinery have prevented the facility shipping fuel since the striked. It will take two or three months to carry out repairs, but one of the cracking columns is irreparably damaged.

The Noginsk oil refinery and depot east of Moscow is now the capital’s main supplier of diesel and gasoline, but does not have anything like enough capacity to fully supply the capital, let alone the wider Moscow region.

Whereas Ukraine had previously targeted oil storage tanks, which can be replaced fairly quickly, the cracking units are a much more difficult proposition. Due to Western sanctions, they can only now be ordered from China.

It takes about 18 months to build a new cracking unit, with shipping and installation requiring several months more. A destroyed cracking unit may thus take as long as two years to replace.

Russia has turned to Belarus, Georgia, and Kazakhstan to try to alleviate the current shortages with fuel from their own refineries. It has suspended fuel exports from its own refineries. It is also shipping fuel from a Russian-owned refinery in India back to Russia.

Within Russia, the regions of Kabardino-Balkaria and Dagestan are reportedly considering allowing so-called “samovars” (micro-refineries), which caused catastrophic environmental damage when they were last used during the 1990s and early 2000s prior to being outlawed

  • ChrisO_wiki

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🙄 Poland demands WW2 reparations from Germany but NOT from Russia…says everything you need to know about whom these guys really serve.

In the past, Poland received reparations from both Germanies, and has since waived its right to reparations several times.

So why bring this up again now?

☝️ Because it’s yet another cheap move to use historic grievances to split and divide Europe, right when we need to stand united, just for some cheap populism points.

The populist proposal of course helps the equally populist AfD in Germany too, who can then riot against such reparations.

And meanwhile Moscow – who spent half a century occupying Poland but is NOT asked for reparations – simply smiles.

3 comments

  1. We gave putler this opening. Until the arrival of Krasnov, putler had to wait before he could feel confident.
    He had decided to take Crimea from the start of his cancerous dictatorship. He tested Bush 1 with his “Ukraine is not a real country George” quote, which received no pushback.
    Realising that Bush was weak, he ordered his troll army in the west to reinforce the point.
    The Mail’s own putler-rimmer Peter Hitchens, traveled to Crimea in 2010, interviewed a putinaZi admiral and some putinaZi skank in a bar and declared Ukraine “a fanciful country.” He then set out all the Kremlin talking points justifying an invasion of Crimea, which happened less than four years later.

  2. Everybody has his or her wet dreams, but what angers me the most about the cocksucking vampire’s wet dreams is the West’s weakness, cowardice, stupidness, and greed that allowed him to get away with all the crimes he committed, including this war, in his pursuit of his fantasies.

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