02/18/2024
Total military assistance to Ukraine from European countries has long surpassed that of the United States. In addition, the approval of the EU Ukraine Support Fund guarantees further financial assistance.
However, today there remains a large gap between EU commitments and allocations. This was reported by the Kiel Institute for World Economics (IFW).
EU countries provided 144 billion euros to help Ukraine, but in fact 77 billion were allocated. Therefore, to completely replace US military assistance in 2024, Europe will have to double its current level and pace of military assistance.
According to the latest data, US aid commitments and supplies to Ukraine have dried up, given that the US Congress has not passed a single new support package. At the same time, aid from EU countries continues to grow, both in terms of commitments and distribution. We are talking about aid that has been allocated or reserved for a specific purpose and should be sent to Ukraine in the near future.
However, new data shows a large gap between promised and actual aid flows. As of 15 January 2024, the EU had provided a total of €144 billion in aid, but only €77 billion had been allocated for specific purposes.
It is noteworthy that when considering the allocation of assistance in specific areas – financial, humanitarian and military – the European Union is in first place – in total it has allocated 84.99 billion euros. Of these, 77.18 billion are financial assistance, 2.21 billion are humanitarian, 5.6 billion are military.
The United States is in second place in terms of the volume of assistance provided to Ukraine with a total volume of 67.71 billion euros of assistance. The United States has provided 24 billion for financial assistance, 1.45 billion for humanitarian assistance and 42.22 billion for military assistance.
Let us recall that at the Munich Security Conference, Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky held telephone conversations with American President Joseph Biden. The interlocutors discussed, among other things, the current situation on the battlefield, in particular the situation in the Avdeevka area of the Donetsk region.
Earlier, German Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck said that European countries must coordinate the production of advanced military systems in order to increase the efficiency of providing assistance to Ukraine and ensuring their own security.
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Will the Europeans even see the need to replace the US? And, if they do, do they have the will to accomplish this? And, if they can, will it happen in this decade, or in the next, or the next century?
If Ukraine losses, this will mean that the West – and this most definitely includes the United States – will suffer dire consequences, and it’s all been told already what they are, ad nauseam. But, the Europeans and Taiwan will suffer the most, maybe South Korea, too. That’s something that the orange baboon simply can’t get into his hollow skull, and his gang in Congress, too. Maybe they want to have new friends in all the dictatorships and with terrorists, instead of Europe? I don’t know, I can’t understand their mentality.
But, it seems that everyone else, the Europeans, Taiwanese and the South Koreans also don’t have the foresight to see the aftermath of a mafia victory.
I think the Europeans are waking up to the grim reality. I just wish they’d get off their asses…like the French! Spanish and Italians. Be nice if the Germans also did more then a lousy 5 billion in aid.
A good start would be sending those Taurus to Ukraine. It’s sickening that we’ve been saying basically the same sentences for two years!
The Taurus may help to blow the bridge but without tons of ammo and more batteries the land bridge will remain and the invaders will overrun one towne after another.
The Taurus can demolish mafia supplies, its logistics, important bridges, factories, air fields and aircraft, and so much more. And, I said it would be a good start.
Germany “has sent just under 24 billion euros to Ukraine”, including 5.4 billions for military aid in the year 2023 (2 billions in 2022, all numbers from the official website of the federal government) and has declared to further increase that amount. There already have been “commitments in the following years amounting to 10.5 billion Euros”. The country “is also the largest contributor to the refinancing fund of the European Peace Facility (EPF)”. “In addition, Germany is providing direct financial aid via a multi-billion euro grant in favour of Ukraine managed by the IMF”. Considering that Germany only has about a quarter of the citizen count of the US, and even less of its GDP, these contributions certainly aren’t stingy.
A problem may be, though, the growing time gap between federal allocation, actual spending and delivery, as mentioned in the text and shown in the graph. I do think the excessive bureaucracy, still working at a peacetime pace, is to blame for that.
You’re closer to this the I Gray so I accept your facts freely. Just a question, not a leading question, but were the funds actually sent or was it just allocated. In reading the recent news I see a number of countries state big numbers but they fail to tell the reader that they’re only allocating. That’s like pledging a billion dollars but never following through.
As I understand the process, there’s five steps in it: Budgeting, planning/bidding, allocation, spending, delivery (to Ukraine), and each one leads to delays (which add up and confuse the picture). Money is allocated when there’s a signed contract, but only paid when the company delivers the good (not necessarily directly to Ukraine). In case of newly produced arms, like Iris-T, there will be a significant time between both instances, but the money will be eventually be spend. Just many months later, that’s the point. Only in a minority of cases, when the contractor defaults, won’t allocation be followed by spending. So, the numbers are real, but it’s the time dimension that’s problematic. Much of the spending happening now is still based on allocation in 2023. So, we have to distinguish between the budgets passed in parliaments, the planned expenses (which will stretch out over a year), the allocation (after which the money can’t be used for anything else anymore), the eventual spending, and when Ukraine will receive the value. It’s a pipeline – what goes in, will come out – but the question is, when.