10 JANUARY 2024
On the border of Ukraine and unrecognized Transnistria there was an incident with the use of firearms, as a result of which two Transnistrian citizens were allegedly moved to the territory of Ukraine.
The Ministry of Defense of the unrecognized republic reported this on Wednesday, January 10.
“On January 7, 2024, an incident involving the use of firearms occurred near the Pridnestrovian-Ukrainian border, after which two Pridnestrovian citizens were transferred to the territory of Ukraine. Now the circumstances of what happened are being clarified,” the report said.
The State Border Guard Service of Ukraine has not yet commented on the corresponding message of the unrecognized Transnistria.
As Ukrainian News Agency earlier reported, on February 23, 2023, the Ministry of Defense of the aggressor state of russia accused Ukraine of allegedly preparing a provocation to attack the territory of Transnistria.
Recall, on February 20, 2023, Moldovan Prime Minister Dorin Recean called on russia to withdraw troops from the territory of unrecognized Transnistria.
Also on February 20, 2023, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that the country is ready to help Moldova in resolving the issue with Transnistria.
Was this a mission to free these persons, to capture them, or a kidnapping?
It’s bad enough that Ukraine failed to see the need to conquer Belarus, but not doing so with Transnistria will forever be a mystery to me. The AFU could easily do so.
As I understand it from a Moldovan I know, they approached Sandu for permission and she denied it.
As for invading Belarus; a nation with a population of 9 million and an army of 50,000, with 350,000 reserves, it is simply impossible for Ukraine whilst still fending off 600,000 invader savages.
That was a big mistake by Sandu, if it’s true.
As for Belarus, as I’ve stated before, Ukraine should’ve done that before starting a useless offensive against the massive defenses. I’m absolutely positive that the Belarusian army would not pose much of a problem.
I disagree with both of you.
Indeed Ukraine could take on Transnistria, but why would they?
It doesn’t pose any serious threat to Ukraine, and when Russia falls or runs out of money, it will collapse by itself without a single shot. Russia cannot supply it so no serious threat comes from there.
Also, it is an impoverished shithole, corrupt as hell and full of brainwashed people. They are definitely not welcoming the Ukrainians.
I know people from Transnistria and they are really believing the crap they have been told.
Ukraine will only lose people and equipment that it badly needs with very few gains.
Also in terms of diplomacy it isn’t smart, as Moldova itself doesn’t really have an army so it cannot defend itself when the Russian troops decide to go to the West or send missile barrages to Chisinau.
And it can be a very deadly endeavour if the arms depot in Cobasna will be blown up, either by accident or by retreating Russian troops.
Even when you have taken it, it will be a money drain. Moldova is also broke so they aren’t prepared to reintegrate the area.
About Belarus, you are deeply underestimating the strength of the Belarusian army. Despite Lukachenko’s nepotism, the Belarusian state actually performs pretty well and effective. The army most likely isn’t as corrupt and poorly maintained as the Russian army.
Just like Ukraine, they have huge warehouses with Soviet-era equipment and unlike Ukraine, they kept investing in their armed forces since the fall of the Soviet Union. They are modest in size, but well organised. They have upgraded their stuff since the 90’s and maintained it pretty well.
Also, Belarus had access to newer shells for tanks and newer missiles for fighter jets that have a much longer range than what the Ukrainians currently have. The Belarusian air force is much more modern as well.
Morale will probably be the main bottleneck of the Belarusian army, as most Belarusians do not really like their president and are unwilling to fight with Ukrainians.
But no, it will not be an easy walk in the park. And it would be very stupid as it will alienate the relatively pro-Ukrainian population of Belarus. And Lukachenko has no intention to join the war and is doing everything it can to prevent getting involved.
Lukachenko is not an enemy of Ukraine or a friend of Russia. He is a friend of just himself and he is terrified of war and anything that can threaten his position.
Attacking Belarus only makes the front line even wider, while Belarus doesn’t really pose an acute threat to Ukraine. As long as Lukachenko remains in power, Ukraine has little to fear.
I am certain that when Russia is weakened, the population of Belarus will take matters into their own hands. It is wise not to alienate them so their next president will be pro-Ukrainian.
^bert
As for Transnistria, it has a huge arms and ammo depot. The AFU could use the stuff very much, seeing that its friends are having problems with giving Ukraine what it needs and in sufficient numbers. In this regard, I think that what the people there think is for the toilet. It makes military and political sense, and that’s what counts.
As for Belarus, it would indeed be a walk in the park, in particular when you compare it to what the AFU has to go through along the entire frontline. Or, haven’t you heard about the massive minefields and other defenses that mafia land was able to leisurely build while the West refused to give Ukraine what it needed for an offensive?
Taking Belarus would not only free the Belarusians from the clutches of two dictators, but would provide a massive boost in morale while shitting on ruskie morale. It would also give Ukraine lots of additional military equipment and negate the danger of another attack from the north via both land and air.
I have posted a couple of articles last year from Charter 97 in which it was specifically stated that a Ukrainian military incursion into Belarus would be welcome by the people and the opposition. In another one, it was questioned why Ukraine hasn’t already done so. Here, too, an invasion from Ukraine was seen as a positive development, if it should come to pass.
The most important aspect of attacking Belarus would’ve been to save Ukrainian lives. Attacking the southern and eastern fronts cost lots of lives and equipment, and it brought little in return.
The biggest positive aspect of attacking the southern and eastern fronts is the opportunity to demolish the roach army. This should’ve been done instead of going on an offensive with the little materiel that the AFU had available, especially long-range capabilities and air power.
Possibility;
They were doing something illegal and were arrested by UA Border Force.