Russia is losing this war

ROBIN HORSFALL

Mar 5, 2025

Russia is losing this war.

Another Russian warship has been badly damaged by navy drones. Patrol ship, Sergey Kotov came under attack last night in the south of Crimea and was struck at least twice.

The poweful effects of sea going drones must be forcing naval commanders across the word to review the safety of their entire fleets. Ukraine has sunk more than 25% of the Black Sea Fleet without possessing a warship of their own. The powerful results obtained by marine drones has forced Russia to cease many operations in the Black Sea region. However, Russian ships are not safe even in Russian territory. The cruiser, Olenegorsky Gornyak was sunk the same way in the port of Novorossiysk last year.

Russia is helpless to defend its ships against these attacks. Their defensive guns cannot depress low enough to engage at close range and their radar cannot locate drones carrying up to 1000 pounds of explosive riding close to the surface with a profile that is often smaller than the surrounding waves.

Although this is a major concern for Russia, NATO chiefs will be examining new ways of defending their own fleets in the light of this new development.

In the air, Russia has started to take dramatic losses in fighters and fighter bombers. This included 10 Su-34 fighter-bomber jets, two Su-35 jets and another Russian A-50 airborne early warning and control aircraft. This equated to more than one billion dollars worth of irreplaceable aircraft.

Some pundits have suggested that Ukraine moved at least one Patriot air defence system away from city defence duties and placed it close to the front lines. Reports or rumours from Russia indicate that pilots are loathe to fly because they feel helpless in the face of these top level US weapons.

If Russia lose their air presence over Donbas and the Azov Sea their ground troops will find themselves at a serious disadvantage.

Despite some minor land advances in the east at a terrible cost, Russia is losing this war.

Slava Ukraini!

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Robin Horsfall

5 comments

  1. I don’t at the moment share Robin’s optimism.
    But hopefully he might know more than me. Most important: he cheers me up.

    • Of course, the situation right now looks rather gloomy. But the evident successes of the AFU, even during this very difficult time, show that there’s still good reason for optimism – as Horsfall eloquently states. I’m hoping that about a month from now, the circumstances regarding ammunition and recruitment will brighten up. To get through the next weeks, without major retreats, is crucial for setting the course to victory again. 🍀

  2. It’s good that Horsfall points to the reasons for optimism. Indeed, there’s a very noticeable silver line on the horizon! But first, the catastrophic shortfalls in ammunition and manpower need to be solved. That’s essential for the successful defence of the country.

    • That’s the future for supporters of this terror regime: Internationally sought criminals, who have to hide in their hellhole of a Mafia-country. Only fair.

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