Dec 17, 2023
The Republican Party is likely to lose the House of Representatives in 2024 after a new districting ruling in New York, GOP strategist Susan Del Percio said on Saturday.
The GOP has held a razor-thin majority in the House since underperforming expectations in the 2022 midterm elections, with the margin continuing to shrink as time has gone on. At the start of the month, Representative George Santos, a New York Republican, was expelled from his seat after nearly a year’s worth of allegations and reports detailing his numerous lies and improprieties. Other Republicans, like former House Speaker House Kevin McCarthy, have also announced their intention to retire from office at the end of the year, further imperiling the GOP majority come 2024.
Last week, the New York State Supreme Court issued a ruling that called for the state’s congressional district boundaries to be redrawn, with observers widely predicting that Democrats in the state will use the opportunity to shift two to six Republican-led districts in their favor. The GOP notably overperformed in the traditionally blue Empire State in last year’s midterms, taking seats in districts that went for Joe Biden in 2020 and helping seal their party’s House majority. This call for a new congressional map could help undo those gains in the next election cycle.
Del Percio, a Republican political strategist whose list of past clients includes the likes of Rudy Giuliani, suggested as much herself during a Saturday appearance on MSNBC. When asked about the significance of New York’s decision for Republicans in 2024, Del Percio told host Al Sharpton that she expects the party to lose their majority in the House.
“Come January 1st, there is going to be a two-seat majority for Republicans, and they need every vote they can get,” she said. “Frankly, I don’t see how they hold on to the House. Of the six districts, three are absolutely competitive. Two are most likely to flip. So it will change that landscape, obviously. And I think it will lead to a [House Minority Leader] Hakeem Jeffries speakership. Let’s put it that way.”
Newsweek reached out to Republican officials via email for comment.
Republican efforts to maintain or remake congressional maps in their favor, a process known as gerrymandering, have faced major setbacks in several states beyond New York, like New Mexico, due to similar court orders. The current congressional session has also been one of the most unproductive in American history, and has been plagued with scandal and infighting, leading many pundits to predict voter discontent with GOP leadership in the chamber.
“The current congressional session has also been one of the most unproductive in American history, and has been plagued with scandal and infighting, leading many pundits to predict voter discontent with GOP leadership in the chamber.”
This is a key statement and I can only agree fully with it. Especially the House has been deplorably bad. This is mainly thanks to a small group of troublemakers from the trumpet faction, which is holding Ukraine and its entire population hostage. However, the Democrats have also not shined in a favorable light in Congress. Their border policies pose a grave danger to our nation.
Given the performance of the GOP establishment, losing control would not be surprising. OTOH, given Biden’s performance, it may stay and be broadened as well. We won’t know until next November.
“given Biden’s performance”
With the Dow at an all-time high, record low unemployment, inflation falling, interest rates set to come down, and growth at 5.2% last quarter, maybe the economy isn’t so terrible under Biden after all.
Maybe a lot of the problem is media messaging…
Indeed, our media should stop their political biases once and for all! This skews the truth and doesn’t serve the people very well.
Nope, the problem is legislation. Look at what Mr. Magoo’s policies have done to inflation. And don’t try to blame Trump, inflation was 1.4% when Mr. Magoo was inaugurated.
Who is mr. Magoo?
I think Americans have problems understanding the effect of a POTUS on the economy is fairly limited.
Numbers are quite similar in the entire Western world. The state of the American economy is mostly tied to the state of the global economy, not the few measures Trump or Biden take in a few years.
Also, most of them do not have this short term effect. For example, investing in education often only pays off in about 20 years as only then people will enter the job market.
Especially in a highly decentralized country such as the U.S. the effect the POTUS has on the economy is rather limited.
Politicians often exaggerate the effect of their economic policies in good times, and when things are bad it is because of their predecessor.
^a bert that isn’t fooled by politicians overestimating the effect they have on the nation’s economy.
LOL. Don’t let your “Biden Derangement Syndrome” blind you to the facts. Try looking at a chart that compares the USA to other economies.
Inflation surged due to product shortages resulting from the global supply-chain problems, itself largely caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. This coincided with strong consumer demand, driven by low unemployment and improved financial conditions following the pandemic. This was a world-wide problem, but the US has recovered better than most other countries. The charts I’m finding show that the US’s inflation rate is lower than any other G-7 country, and is well below the average for the G-20
I don’t seem to be able to paste in a chart, but here’s a web page that contains one.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/06/27/cea-apples-to-apfel-recent-inflation-trends-in-the-g7/
You can’t dance around the facts or hide behind Leftist propaganda. Charts are charts.
LOL. If “Charts are charts”, how can my chart be “Leftist propaganda”?
Your chart just shows the USA; the Council of Economic Advisers’ chart shows exactly the same thing that yours does, but it also adds in the inflation numbers for the other G-7 countries.
We all had the same global supply-chain problems, but the US has recovered a lot faster. If you don’t want to trust the Council of Economic Advisers, you can just google “inflation US versus world”. Here’s a post from the fact checkers at PolitiFact that includes a similar chart:
https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2023/sep/01/joe-biden/does-the-us-have-less-inflation-than-other-leading/
It seems to me that if you wanted to discuss what President Biden’s “policies have done to inflation” you’d have to give him credit for bringing it down a lot faster than other countries have been able to.
That is, if you were really “pro-fairness.” 😂😂😂
“The Republican Party is likely to lose the House of Representatives in 2024”
Good for the USA, and good for Ukraine.