Aug 16, 2026
CNN’s Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten combed through thousands of polls and ran the odds to figure out what the most—and least—likely outcomes are for the 2026 midterm election to answer a crucial questions: Who will control the power of the purse come November?
0:00 Harry figures out the most likely scenarios are for Washington control after the midterms
0:28 What’s the LEAST likely scenario?
2:45 What is an unlikely, but possible scenario? Let’s look at the math.
5:34 What is the second most likely scenario for the House and the Senate?
8:22 Harry delivers breaking news — a poll hot off the presses
9:51 What is the MOST likely expected outcome from the midterm elections, at over 50% likelihood?
13:31 How will Donald Trump’s approval rating factor in?
Damn I put my comment in the wrong blog, my apologies
I see it coming again. The Dems shooting themselves, again. An example in the Florida Senate primary the Dems decide to vote for a Democratic Socialist, a hard left, IMO a nut job, instead of electing Vindman a moderate by any standards and the guy who challenged Trump and was one of the reasons Trump was impeached the first time. The polling for Florida moved from likely Republican to solid Republican after the primary. Here we go again. Might just as well put Kamala back on the ticket. Politicians are just morons.
Every time a chance comes to defeat trumputler, the voters choose useless trash instead.
Maybe the voters have learned from their mistakes. At least, enough of them to make a difference.
In such cases, we must hope that the Republicans are the worse evil than hard socialists. Taco has proven more than enough what chaos he and the former GOP mean for the country.
I hope they won’t repeat such mistakes as in Florida.