05/27/2025
Bookmakers do not believe that US President Donald Trump will soon implement his threats and initiate the introduction of additional sanctions against Russia. The probability that new restrictions will appear by June 1 is estimated at only 16%.
This is evidenced by data from the crypto betting platform Polymarket . For comparison: at the beginning of May 2025, 58% of forecasters believed in the introduction of sanctions, but later the bookmakers’ confidence began to fall and did not return to its previous level even after Trump’s own statements about sanctions .
The bookmakers’ opinion was not changed by the WSJ’s information that Trump may impose new sanctions against Russia this week . The publication’s sources said that the head of the White House is disappointed with Russia’s attacks on Ukraine and that the peace process is going too slowly. At the same time, the journalists’ interlocutors say that the decision on sanctions has not yet been made.
Meanwhile, betting market participants still do not believe that there will be no sanctions at all. For example, the probability of imposing restrictions in July 2025 is estimated at a more serious 47%.
According to media reports, if the US president decides that restrictions on Russia are necessary, they will primarily include banking sanctions. In addition, the White House is likely discussing other options to pressure Russian dictator Vladimir Putin to make concessions at the negotiating table, including a 30-day ceasefire.
As OBOZ.UA reported, on the third day of massive shelling of peaceful Ukrainian cities, Trump said that he was unhappy with Putin , because he was shelling cities and killing people for no reason. The US President confirmed that he was considering imposing new sanctions against Russia.
Trump can’t stop the sanctions proposed by Graham. They can be made veto proof.
Yes, all we need are enough congressmen and women with spines.