𝙍π™ͺπ™¨π™¨π™žπ™–β€™π™¨ π˜Ώπ™€π™£π™—π™–π™¨π™¨ π™Šπ™›π™›π™šπ™£π™¨π™žπ™«π™š π™žπ™¨ π™π™–π™žπ™‘π™žπ™£π™œ β€” 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩 π™’π™–π™©π™©π™šπ™§π™¨

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Tim De Zitter

Supporting Ukraine – Lifecycle manager Land Combat Missiles , GBAD and CUAS and GMG systems (surveying Loitering Munitions) @Belgian Defense – OSINT non-professional

Belgian Defence

Lokeren, Flemish Region, Belgium

April 19, 2025

𝙍π™ͺπ™¨π™¨π™žπ™–β€™π™¨ π˜Ώπ™€π™£π™—π™–π™¨π™¨ π™Šπ™›π™›π™šπ™£π™¨π™žπ™«π™š π™žπ™¨ π™π™–π™žπ™‘π™žπ™£π™œ β€” 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩 π™’π™–π™©π™©π™šπ™§π™¨ πŸ“‰πŸͺ–πŸ›°οΈ

β–ͺ️ After 4 months of grinding assaults, πŸ‡·πŸ‡ΊRussia’s main effort to seize northern Donetsk has failed to break through or encircle πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦Pokrovsk β€” its primary objective.

β–ͺ️ While Chasiv Yar and Toretsk remain partly under πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦control, Ukraine has fortified behind them β€” trapping Russia in a costly detour. Kostiantynivka and Kramatorsk, the ultimate goals, remain untouched.

β–ͺ️ Kramatorsk, for the first time since 2023, is now being encircled in triple-layered anti-tank ditches. Ukraine is preparing for every contingency β€” and slowing down every advance.

β–ͺ️ Russia’s attempt to break Pokrovsk from the east resulted in minimal gains but gave πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦just enough time to solidify three defensive belts:
πŸ”° East of Dnipropetrovsk oblast
🧱 West of Pokrovsk
🧭 Between Kostiantynivka and Pokrovsk

β–ͺ️ In desperation, Russian troops have shifted into open terrain, where drone attrition is brutal. The offensive continues, but every km gained is strategically meaningless.

πŸŸ₯ In red: Russia’s most significant progress in 4 months β€” limited, fragmented, and off-course.

⬜ In white: Russia’s 3 areas of interest β€” all fortified, all holding.

🧱 In black: Thousands of meters of dragon’s teeth, barbed wire & barricades β€” defenses mapped by

⚠️ Russia no longer has the initiative. Its strategy has collapsed into slow, bloody brawls over fields with no tactical upside.

πŸ“Unlike 2024’s Avdiivka or Kurakhove battles, Ukraine hasn’t lost a key node. Instead, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ίhas lost momentum, vehicles, time, and troops.

πŸ“‘ The war has shifted. And Russia is still attacking as if it’s 2022.

UkraineWar #Donbas #DroneWarfare #DefenseAnalysis #FPV #Kramatorsk #Pokrovsk #Drones #ModernWarfare

5 comments

  1. Military success always has top priority over success in the exchange of hot oral gasses. The only exception to this rule is if the aggressor says, “We surrender!”

    • They have achieved miraculous things with very limited resources.
      Biden sent them cluster munitions; which have the capability of taking out advancing troop formations. Most countries ban these things; obviously not putlerstan, which uses them to murder Ukrainian children.
      It’s likely that Ukraine’s inventory of these crucial weapons is low; just at a time when they need them.
      I wonder if they can be sourced elsewhere, or whether they can manufacture them themselves?

        • I don’t know any country in Europe that hasn’t banned them.
          The Balts have just, for understandable reasons, unbanned them. I don’t think any others have done so.

          • I understand that.
            I was so foolish to think that the West would’ve been studying this war closely and draw certain conclusions about it … like the effectiveness of cluster munitions, among other things. They simply can’t get it into their thick skulls that you must think out of the box when you might be confronted with such a deeply evil country, which has no regard to human life.
            Who is following rules anymore when they are a hindrance or even a danger to your security? Unfortunately, such line of thinking is being forced upon us.

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