After the stabilization of the front, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will have to launch new attacks, in connection with which the hostilities will drag on until 2023.
Ukraine has turned the tide of the war in its favor, but the current counteroffensive will end at some point. The occupiers will build a new defensive line, and in places they will carry out local assaults. The UAF will need to organize new attacks in order to free all territories. In this regard, the war will drag on until 2023.
Analysts from the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) came to these conclusions in a new traditional report on the situation at the front in Ukraine.
The Ukrainian authorities defiantly discussed preparations for a counteroffensive in the Kherson region, diverting the attention of the occupiers from the territories where the main attack was to take place. Thanks to careful preparation, the plan worked. And one of its components was attacks on enemy logistics lines in the Kherson and Kharkov regions. For this, the Armed Forces of Ukraine effectively used HIMARS and other Western weapons.VIDEO OF THE DAYPlayUnmute
Loaded : 16.20%
Remaining Time -4:38fullscreen
According to experts, Ukraine turned the tide of the war in its favor. Now the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to more often dictate the nature and place of hostilities. And Russia will increasingly react inadequately to pressure from Ukrainian defenders, both physical and psychological.
At the same time, ISW stressed that the current counter-offensive would not allow to end the war. Rashists at some point will be able to build a new defensive line and even go to local assaults. Ukraine will need to organize another series of offensive actions to de-occupy the temporarily occupied territories. That is why the war will drag on until 2023.
Other important findings from the ISW report
- Russia suffered a major operational defeat in the Kharkov region. The Armed Forces of Ukraine recaptured almost the entire region in a lightning-fast counteroffensive. Ukrainian forces advanced to Volchansk and Veliky Burluk, and the Russian Defense Ministry confirmed the withdrawal of troops from positions throughout the Kharkiv region.
- Positional battles continue in the south. The Armed Forces of Ukraine strike at the Russian rear – bases, warehouses and vehicles.
- The Russian Federation is trying to compensate for the losses by all available means to continue the war in Ukraine.
- The recent counter-offensive apparently forced the Rashists to postpone the dates of the so-called “referendums” for the annexation of the temporarily occupied territories.
Recall that the results of successful attacks by Ukrainian defenders were reflected in the Lugansk region. The occupiers with their families fled from Svatovo , where only the so-called “people’s militia” remained. And the head of the LOVA, Sergei Gaidai , hopes for the complete liberation of the region .
(C)UNIAN 2022
“Ukraine has turned the tide of the war in its favor, but the current counteroffensive will end at some point. The occupiers will build a new defensive line, and in places they will carry out local assaults.”
“…Ukraine turned the tide of the war in its favor. Now the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to more often dictate the nature and place of hostilities. And Russia will increasingly react inadequately to pressure from Ukrainian defenders, both physical and psychological.”
Come on, ISW, don’t be so contradictory!
If the orcs will increasingly react inadequately, how will they manage to build new defensive lines? Doing so while being under pressure from a rapidly advancing enemy is exceedingly difficult, especially with such a badly trained and badly dispositioned gang of troops. Not to mention a bad command structure.
No, if Ukraine undertook this counterstrike with enough reserves and keeps up the speed, coming in from the unfortified flanks, things will continue going fast. Don’t give the orcs a chance to breathe!
fast movement is why the Germans laid the USSR open during Barbarossa. They outran Soviet communications and completely snarled things for Stalin. If the Ukrainains keep moving, and keep the pressure on, they’ll accomplish much the same thing.
Has anyone heard of Ukrainian bridging efforts in the Donbas failing?
That’s right. Speed of movement without overextending the own capabilities is what’s important now. This is Guderian and Rommel style combat of the finest.