15.11.2026
The Russian Federation’s war against Ukraine is entering its fifth year (or its thirteenth, if counted from 2014). And 2026 is noticeably different from previous years. Currently, Ukrainian forces hold the initiative along roughly half the front line, particularly in the areas north and south of the Donbas—in the Liman and Slavyansk areas, as well as in Velyka Novoselka.
This is reported by a respected military analyst, OSINT expert Clément Molin (Clément Molin).
The Russian army has concentrated its main efforts in the central part of the Donetsk region, primarily in the battles for Dobropillya and Konstantinovka.
Their goal is to launch an offensive on Kramatorsk—the largest city in the Donbas, which remains under Ukrainian control—in the coming years.
At the same time, the Russian army is unsuccessfully attempting to advance in the Orekhov area —an important defensive line covering the major city of Zaporizhzhia from the south, which had a pre-war population of 800,000, as well as Kupiansk, which Ukrainian troops liberated in 2022.
In addition, Russian forces are attempting to advance along the border in the Kharkiv and Sumy regions, but are making no headway.
To a large extent, this shift is due to Ukrainian counterattacks.
https://charter97.org/en/news/2026/11/15/705636
Okay, so first, Ukraine gained the initiative along a small sector of the front line with Operation Vivaldi. Now they have it along half the lines? That is a significant development. Ukraine is not only outnumbered but outgunned, and it must contend with a hot contact line stretching up to 1200 km. BTW, the full length of the front lines, including non-active stretches, exceeds 2000 km.
It is safe to assume that the cockroach army is experiencing a slow yet steady collapse. This will not be taken well in the White House.