26 September, 2024
Military analyst Vladyslav Selezniov suggests that, despite frequent nuclear saber-rattling, Russia’s ability to deploy nuclear weapons is significantly constrained.
He shared these opinions with Espreso TV.
“In April 2022, I was at the Yavoriv military base. We had intelligence suggesting that Russia was preparing a tactical nuclear strike on the base. It didn’t happen then, and it hasn’t happened since. Even with changes in Russia’s nuclear deterrence doctrine, I don’t see it happening now,” Selezniov commented.
The expert underscored that Russia’s nuclear capabilities are not as extensive as they may claim.
“I’m convinced Russia won’t resort to nuclear weapons. What could they possibly use? The Sarmat missile, which has had just one test launch so far, despite being declared combat-ready? Or maybe their Voyevoda missiles? Keep in mind, those are actually a Ukrainian design, maintained by Ukrainian specialists for years. Russia can fantasize all they want, but there are serious doubts about their nuclear capabilities,” he added.
- On Wednesday, September 25, Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed amendments to Russia’s nuclear deterrence policy.
- Putin’s timing coincided with the 79th session of the UN General Assembly in the U.S., where President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned that Russia plans to target Ukraine’s nuclear infrastructure to disrupt energy supply to reactors.
- Meanwhile, discussions have intensified around allowing Ukraine to strike deep into Russia with Western arms. On September 19, U.S. State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller confirmed that the U.S. is in talks with allies about this possibility. Poland’s foreign minister also emphasized Ukraine’s right to defend itself.
I’m sure that Biden and the other Western leaders are well aware of mafia land’s limited ability to deliver nukes with the junk they have. I’m also convinced that things do not look any better with the nukes themselves. Nobody knows how many will simply fail to detonate after they are lucky enough to reach their targets.
Maintaining a nuclear stockpile with all its complex technologies requires lots of work, many experts, and a pile of money, and this over a period of decades. We know that many experts are too old by now, many others escaped from mafia land, and the pile of money has seeped into the usual dark channels.
This makes the deep-seated fear in the flimsy hearts of our inglorious leaders all the more baffling.
“In 2022, about two months after sending troops into Ukraine, Putin said the Sarmat would “reliably ensure the security of Russia from external threats and make those who, in the heat of aggressive rhetoric, try to threaten our country, think twice,.”
That didn’t work out so well did it? Mafia land has been invaded, is on fire and under attack every day. I guess Ukrainians don’t need to think about russian “invincible” weapons.