08.10.2022
The road side is collapsed, the rail side will collapse soon.
This is the bridge that connects Russia with Crimea, and it’s the main way of resupply for the southern front. It’s also a symbol of Russian strength and annexation of Ukrainian territory. This is devastating to Russia, and on the day after Vladimir Putin’s birthday, it’s f’n perfect.
So many questions, such as, does Ukraine have ATACMS—long-range rockets fired from HIMARS and MLRS launchers? Or is this some other wonder weapon we didn’t yet know existed? We’ll update as information comes in.
Saturday, Oct 8, 2022 · 6:53:39 AM CEST · kos
This isn’t something you paper over with some metal sheets. I don’t understand how Ukraine could do this kind of damage to Kerch, but the bridges at Nova Kakhovka and Kherson city (Antonovsky) remain so resilient.
Could be good ol’ graft and corruption. One of Putin’s pals built the bridge. Italian villas don’t pay for themselves with honesty and good work.
Every picture is more amazing than the previous one!
Looks like the supports were hit. That might not be a rocket or missile attack, could literally be Ukrainian special forces sneaking in. But I’m just making shit up right now. This is unbelievable—a bigger symbolic blow than sinking the Moskva, and more practical than pretty much anything else I can think of.
I agree with everyone who says the evidence of a rocket or missile strike is missing. Looks like the road support was taken out, and the train with fuel supplies hit. How they are related, if at all, is unclear. But two separate strikes at the same time, some place, also seems improbable.
Goddam it, will I sleep tonight?
Assuming generous financing, the bridge can be built, but he doubts that it will last very long, given the area’s poor geological conditions. These include deep-lying mud volcanoes and a sludgy bottom that is unsuitable for bridge foundations.
It wasn’t smoking this time! The mud volcano struck just as the fuel train was passing by.
Not far from land. Tilts the explanation toward sabotage.
Now THIS is both-siderisms I can get behind.
Another vote for “smoking” theory.
We’ll all be making jokes at Russia’s and Putin’s expense, but people will die in the inevitable temper tantrum. Hitting civilian targets is the only answer Russia has for anything. But no matter what they do, this now shows the Russian people, inescapably, that Putin can’t protect Russian territory. Not Kherson, Kharkiv, or the Donbas, and not even Crimea. Ukraine is marching, they’re moving, and nothing will stop them.
Not even nuclear threats. At this point, even Putin has to be wondering whether his nukes even work. Certainly nothing else has worked as advertised. The last thing he needs is a robust NATO response. He’s lost the war. He has to know he lost the war. The endgame is near.
This is quite the limb to walk out on, and odds are good I’ll be wrong. But my gut says this war will be over by the end of the year, all Ukrainian lands liberated.
Saturday, Oct 8, 2022 · 8:07:13 AM CEST · kos
Russian government mouthpiece TASS news agency says a truck bomb was detonated on the bridge. That makes zero sense. We’ll see what other excuses they’ll come up with as the hours and days pass.
Also, can’t wait for the translated clips of Russian state media are posted.
Fresh pictures, from 11 pm PT.
But, could also be a random truck picking the absolute worst time to cross. Absent a suicide bomber, which is certainly hasn’t been in Ukraine’s playbook (and considered a sin in all Christian faiths), not sure how they’d manage a truck bomb.
Oh this is interesting:
I’ve replayed it multiple times. There is definitely movement directly underneath the bridge, looks like wake. Could be the tip of a boat. Now this is a theory that suddenly makes all the sense in the world—Ukraine did get unmanned naval drones from the U.S.
Rail bridge looks sketch. I don’t understand how the one road buckled and collapsed in two spots, unless there were two explosions. Looks like one side of the road might still be intact. Will be interesting to see if it’s usable.
Happy birthday, Vlad!
Underwater drone strike? Truck bomb? Missile(s)?
Apparently putler is due to address the “nation.”
Kremtrolls are spitting blood. From the DM:
“Fury was building after the destruction of the bridge among pro-war Moscow commentators.
Vladimir Kornilov, RIA Novosti state media columnist, said: ‘I know what we are about to hear: it is time to hit the decision-making centres and leave not a single bridge intact in Kyiv.
“I would say this too, if it had not been said a million times already.
‘One thing is certain: as long as we do not respond harshly to more and more brazen sabotage by limiting ourselves to empty threats, this sabotage will only intensify and intensify.’
Anton Krasovsky, RT media boss, said: ‘For the bridge it is necessary to answer ruthlessly. [Attack] Kyiv, Lviv, Odessa, Kharkiv, Zhytomyr. Stop being patient!’
You already have done those terrible things. You started it you fucking nazi assholes.
Who’s to say this is not a false flag, to give Putler some excuse to use tactical nukes in Ukraine. The russians could blow up that bridge a hell of a lot easier than Ukraine. Maybe they wanted an explosion, but overestimated with the explosives, causing more damage than expected. It’s just a theory, but I wouldn’t put anything past Putin.
To back up your theory, Bob Seely said this in the Telegraph:
“Putin’s dreams – of Ukraine reincorporated into Russia, of breaking Nato, of Russia leading a global anti-Western alliance – are collapsing around him. We do not know exactly what will come next, but we know disaster for Russia’s imploding armed forces probably awaits and that at some point Ukraine’s armed forces will probably break Russia’s land corridor linking Crimea to the Donbas.
At that point, Putin will make one of the most fateful decisions of the century: whether to escalate to the use of nuclear weapons.
I spent parts of our Tory party conference in the company of Ukrainian MPs. Our Ukrainian friends believed that the nuclear decision point would come sooner rather than later. I cannot say definitively whether Putin will use nuclear weapons, but I know the best way to reduce the risk of such an extraordinarily dangerous decision will be for the collective West to take this threat seriously.
We live in serious times. Saying Putin is bluffing is no longer serious.”
“Bob Seely is Conservative MP for the Isle of Wight and sits on the Foreign Affairs Committee. He has a PhD from King’s College London in Russian military strategy.”
It looks to me like someone packed a lot of explosives under the bridge and timed the explosion just right when tank cars were passing. Your theory could be right and would explain how someone could set them without being seen. But since it was relatively close to land perhaps it could be UA spec ops. I will admit it is fun to speculate 😉
I saw a video before and the guy, an ex military man, said he could see a secondary explosion under the bridge. I’m damn sure the Ukrainians are not that good.
I remember seeing a secondary explosion too. But the whole thing just seems too clean; the huge explosions, the secondary, multiple sections falling and hitting both bridges, it just couldn’t be a truck bomb unless it was carrying Anhydrous Ammonia or something like that.. If it was a coordinated missile attack major kudos to the good guys for their timing and accuracy.
Whoever did it, needs to complete the job. 😂
Hahahaha…
This is, of course, great news!
There are numerous theories about how this happened, as usual. Of course, I will add my two cent’s worth.
Unless Ukraine secretly got ATACMS or a similar type of rocket, there can be only two causes for this ruskie disaster; an accident or sabotage.
An accident is always possible. Many things can go wrong during the transport of freight, especially fuel and ammo. I won’t list them here, but I do have to wonder; it sure is convenient for Ukraine to have such an accident happen right on the most important bridge of this war.
So…
Perhaps sabotage is the most likely reason for this fire/explosion.
As the train is being put together or makes a routine stop somewhere, it would be possible to attach explosives with a timer on one or more rail cars. The bridge is about 11 miles long (18 km), so there is plenty of leeway to set the time of detonation. That explains a likely way the train caught fire.
The video with the road bridge is quite interesting. It seems that a boat was going underneath the bridge and then detonated. Coincidence? And, was it precise timing that both the railroad part and the roadway part got damaged at the same place? Did the train get hit by the explosion and caught fire this way?
Although, sabotage is the most likely cause, there are many open questions.
What do you think?
Sir OFP I always found your insights to be right on. Sure seems like there was something causing the small tide or wave under the bridge at the time of the explosion.
Cleaning coffee off my screen after the spit take upon seeing the birthday cake
When I watched the video where it looked like the truck exploded, I immediately thought ‘a suicide bomber?’. FYI, in Catholicism suicide is no longer a mortal sin. A sin yes, but not one that keeps you outside the pearly gates. Many Catholic saints chose death, we call them martyrs. And I could imagine a Crimean Tartar steeped in history of ruzzian atrocities on their people. Timothy Macveigh used a similar box truck bomb.
Then the image of what could be a water craft and remembered the naval drones. What ever it was, it was effective.
Wouldn’t put it past putler using a false flag.
Yes, indeed, whatever it was, it has done its job very well!
In service we were taught the respect of referring to rank, or as Sir or Ma’am. I refer to the regulars as Sir this or that.
Would it be appropriate to refer to you as Lady MM?
Lady works, I guess. Although I am far too blue collar but I hate ma’am
Roger that Lady MM. 😎
I had to clean my screen after seeing Putin’s birthday cake too 🙂