3 MAY 2024
Vadym Skibitskyi, Deputy Head of Defence Intelligence of Ukraine, has spoken about a Russian “three-layered” plan to destabilise Ukraine in an interview with The Economist.
Source: The Economist
Details: According to Skibitsky, May will be a key month when Russia will implement a “three-layered” plan to destabilise Ukraine.
The main factor is military. Although the US Congress belatedly approved an increase in military aid, it will take weeks before it reaches the front line. It is unlikely to match Russia’s stockpile of shells or provide an effective defence against low-tech, destructive guided bombs.
The second factor is Russia’s disinformation campaign in Ukraine aimed at undermining Ukrainian mobilisation and the political legitimacy of Volodymyr Zelenskyy, whose presidential term is set to expire on 20 May. Although the Constitution clearly allows for its indefinite extension in wartime, his opponents are already highlighting the president’s vulnerability.
The third factor, according to Skibitskyi, is Russia’s relentless campaign to isolate Ukraine internationally: “They will be shaking things up whichever way they can.”
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As for the military aspect, Ukraine should start destroying some bridges in the rear areas of cockroach-held territory to disrupt their supply lines. Why isn’t this happening yet? Do they still not have the hard-hitting ATACMS?