10/17/2024 – Translated from Ukrainian via Google and OFP
Russian dictator Vladimir Putin’s current “theory of victory” in Ukraine is aimed at prolonging the fighting. He assumes that his occupying forces can outlast Western support for the Ukrainian Armed Forces and crush their resistance, winning
a war of attrition.
This is what analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have pointed out. According to them, Russia will face serious medium- and long-term constraints that will undermine these strategic efforts of the aggressor.
It is noted that the Kremlin has ordered its army to conduct a year-long offensive along the front line in eastern and northeastern Ukraine. They are aimed at depleting the Defense Forces and preventing Kyiv from accumulating the necessary manpower and material resources to conduct counter-offensive operations that contradict the Russian Federation’s common front initiative.
“Putin and the Russian military command likely view maintaining the all-front initiative as a strategic priority. They have shown themselves tolerant of protracted offensive operations that result in gradual, slow progress far from their intended operational objectives,” ISW assessed the aggressor’s intentions.
They explained that the Russian military is currently trying to eliminate the challenge to its initiative in the theater of military operations in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation following the Ukrainian offensive in early August 2024, while simultaneously maintaining offensive pressure in eastern Ukraine to achieve long-term operational goals.
The intensified offensive of the Russian troops in the summer of 2024 to capture Pokrovsk and reduce the wider Ukrainian salient in the west of Donetsk region, experts believe, will reach its culmination in the coming months. Although it is possible that the command of the occupiers will continue to involve them in the general strategic efforts to maintain the initiative on the front line and exhaust the Ukrainian Armed Forces far beyond this point of operational culmination, regardless of the state of their combat capability.
“This ‘victory theory’ of Putin’s is based on the Russian Armed Forces conducting successive offensives over an indefinite period of time, but such attritional attacks will significantly weaken Russia’s available manpower and material resources. So Russian forces will have to slow down the pace of the offensive, at least in certain parts of the front, which will give the Ukrainian Armed Forces the opportunity to contest and possibly seize the initiative on the battlefield in these areas,” ISW analysts expressed their conviction.
As reported by OBOZ.UA, former Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Lieutenant General Igor Romanenko believes that it is realistic for Ukraine to end the war in 2025. But achieving this goal will require strong decisions from both Kyiv and its Western allies.
“…former Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Lieutenant General Igor Romanenko believes that it is realistic for Ukraine to end the war in 2025. But achieving this goal will require strong decisions from both Kyiv and its Western allies.”
Oh, brother. Which Western ally that is important enough could make strong decisions? Does anyone have a clue?
At any rate, the bloodletting of the mafia army continues unabated. However, while a second country is getting directly involved on the mafia side, thus ESCALATING the war, Biden and the other scared rabbits are doing their best NOT to escalate. All they have is a measure of concern and the usual word salad as answers to the newest escalation.
You just can’t make this shit up.
I blame Ukraine’s feckless allies for the ghastly situation Ukraine finds itself in. Except for one key issue : in 1940 Britain had mobilized 3.5 million men. Its population was 48m. Germany had almost twice that : 85m.
Ukraine somehow must find another million combat troops in order to retake and hold land. Some of them can be mercs; I can’t understand why this hasn’t already been done.
There are of course the wonderful volunteers of the foreign legion, but there just aren’t enough of them.
We may laugh at the scuzzy little norks, but in numbers, they are a deadly threat.