Post-election predictions

ROMAN SHEREMETA

Oct 30, 2024

My post-election predictions about Trump and Harris.

If Trump wins:

  • I believe Trump will do exactly what he has promised. He will (1) stop military aid to Ukraine, (2) push Ukraine to give up its territory, and (3) block Ukraine from entering NATO. In exchange, he will ask Putin to stop the active stage of aggression.
  • Ukraine will most likely reject points (2) and (3), and the war will continue. Then Trump will say he tried to stop the war, but Ukraine didn’t want to cooperate. Russia will continue to kill Ukrainians, likely on an even larger scale.

If Harris wins:

  • Harris will most likely continue Biden’s policy of providing Ukraine with just enough support so that it does not lose, but not enough to win and drive russia out of Ukrainian territory.
  • The overall support for Ukraine will likely diminish.
  • Ukraine will continue to resist with whatever they receive. Russia will continue to kill Ukrainians.

I want to be wrong about both Trump and Harris, but I will leave this for history to judge.

One last thing I want to say: Those who currently support Trump will continue to support him no matter what. If Trump wins and sells Ukraine to russia, they will say: “If Harris was the president, it would have been even worse for Ukraine.” If Harris wins, they will say: “If Trump was the president, the war would have been over by now.”

…………………

Russia has earned $770 billion in fuel exports during the full-scale war.

The most morally bankrupt countries that have engaged in supporting russian genocide against Ukraine are China and India, followed by Turkey and Germany.

In total, the EU country have bought slightly less than China. But they “support” Ukraine.

5 comments

  1. Orcs are now on the advance. The putler plan is to continue assaulting Ukrainian positions until all the land he claims that belongs to his shithole has been occupied with filth.
    He’s on target to achieve that by 2026 or even earlier.
    If he achieves that malignant objective, he will declare it part of the RF and that any counteroffensive will be met by tactical nukes.
    He will consolidate what he has and prepare for another massive invasion a few years down the line.
    There is absolutely nothing whatsoever coming from Ukraine’s so-called friends to deter that plan.

    • Conclusion: the situation is now so bad that only a NFZ and allied ground troops can change putler’s calculus.
      That plus the restoration of Ukraine’s nuclear deterrent.

  2. “If Harris wins … The overall support for Ukraine will likely diminish.”

    I don’t know why he only says that for Harris. She, at least, supports Ukraine. It seems to me overall support for Ukraine would likely diminish a lot more if we had a president who hates Ukraine and worships putler.

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