He understands that an attack on Ukraine means he’s done
12.10.2022
He drew attention to Lukashenka’s convulsive movements and speeches. He could not avoid participating in the aggression against Ukraine, and he is actually coming up with reasons to blame Ukraine for further developments. Luka [dictator Lukashenka – Ed.] feels so scared: he understands that the attack on Ukraine means he’s done.
The scenario for the unification of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus with the Western Military District of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation began to unfold. The entire infrastructure for the unloading and delivery of the Russian Federation’s units is almost ready. The units are to be deployed in the military training area of Brest and other training areas. The first echelons may arrive in the next week or two.
As for now, 25,000-30,000 thousand Russian military personnel, aircraft, missiles, drones, kamikaze drones and other weapons are already in Belarus. In the coming days, before the start of the ground invasion operation, these weapons will be used from the territory of the Republic of Belarus in order to inflict maximum damage on the population and infrastructure of Ukrainian cities located relatively close to the border with Belarus.
The offensive may begin later both in the Homiel region and in the Brest region. It is likely that it will be synchronised with the offensive in the east of Ukraine, which is expected from Belgorod. I would suggest the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Ministry of Defenсe of Ukraine not wait for a dénouement initiated by the enemy but try to inflict preventive strikes on the military infrastructure of Belarus and the Belgorod region in order to complicate or frustrate their plans.
I ask the Ministry of Defence and the Armed Forces of Ukraine to forgive me for the advice since the advice has not military but political nature. I am certainly not an expert in military affairs.
https://charter97.org/en/news/2022/10/12/519613/
“I would suggest the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Ministry of Defenсe of Ukraine not wait for a dénouement [outcome of a sequence of events; the end result] initiated by the enemy but try to inflict preventive strikes on the military infrastructure of Belarus and the Belgorod region in order to complicate or frustrate their plans.”
The Belarus border is less than 85 km from Kyiv. There is almost no warning when missiles come flying from there. If what this article claims is true, Ukraine can no longer ignore Belarus as a grave source of danger.
Luka might be scared, but who knows how much longer he can withstand the pressure from mafia land. He can imagine, though, what will happen to his army once he attacks Ukraine. Seeing the performance of his buddy’s ragtag gang, he can kiss his military goodbye. No doubt, he has sleepless nights.
I wonder how many will simply surrender, turn around and fight with their countrymen fighting in Ukraine.
Ukraine can’t, but the West is.
Of course drones and long range missile strikes should have pro-actively taken out Russian soldiers and equipment in Belarus.
But the West doesn’t allow it and Ukraine lacks the equipment to do so. Biden and Sullivan are pussies.