ISW: AFU Activity on Left Bank Causing Russian Milbloggers to Panic

July 5, 2023 – by OFP

Russian milbloggers have seized on recent Ukrainian activity on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast to call for an increased presence of small river vessels and equipment in the Dnipro River to prevent further Ukrainian advances.

Russian milbloggers appealed on July 2 to the heads of the Dagestan and Tatarstan republics, Astrakhan Oblast, Krasnodar Krai, and Primorsky Krai to send boats confiscated from poachers to the Kherson Oblast frontline, specifying that 10 regiments and brigades of the Southern Military District’s “Dnepr” (the Russian word for Dnipro) Grouping of Forces sorely need the vessels.

ISW previously reported on July 2 that milbloggers are accusing the Russian MoD of failing to provide Russian forces on the east bank with requisite boats and other equipment, and it appears that milbloggers outsourced their requests for additional logistical support to Russian regional heads. Dagestan Republic Head Sergey Melikov responded to the milblogger appeal on July 3 and ordered Dagestan to solve the issue of transferring confiscated poaching boats to Russian forces. One Russian milblogger called for the resurrection of the “Dnepr” flotilla,” a special miliary river unit that was active in the 1735-1739 and 1787-1792 Russo-Turkish wars, the Russian Civil War, and World War II. The milblogger claimed that a resurrected “Dnepr” flotilla could significantly ameliorate the position of Russian troops in the Kherson direction and that this grouping could be reinforced with simple, civilian-use boats. Several other milbloggers, including former Russian officer Igor Girkin, claimed that Russian forces in Kherson Oblast need small boats and equipment in order to keep Ukrainian troops as far back from the Dnipro delta as possible.

The overall anxious milblogger response to recent Ukrainian activity across the Dnipro River suggests that many Russian milbloggers fear Ukraine’s ability to cross the river and believe that the current command of the “Dnepr” grouping has not sufficiently prepared its troops for that potentiality.

Ukraine’s real navy has all but ceased to exist. But, it’s still strong on the mighty Dnipro River. It should be noted that the Ukrainians have received from the U.S. at least 58 so-called riverine patrol boats. These boats are used both for coastal duties and on the large Dnipro River. They are fast, armored and are equipped with machine guns and other task-orientated military gear. Add to these the riverine craft Ukraine already had, mostly from the Soviet era, which are of various sizes and capable of different tasks on rivers and coastal waters. It’s estimated that the Ukrainian armed forces might have more than a hundred patrol boats, small craft and amphibious tractors that are capable of riverine operations.

2 comments

  1. These monkeys really think that they can gain control of the Dnipro by a few confiscated civilian boats. Let them try it. The AFU will gladly send them to the fishes or do something similar, as on that one video. Orcs fly so nicely, lately.

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