Paul Goble
Staunton, January 5 – Sergey Belanovsky, the sociologist who attracted widespread attention for predicting the 2011-2012 protest wave, now says that there has been a major shift in the Kremlin’s vision for domestic policy but so far at least not in its view of the world beyond Russia’s borders.
He provides a list of 18 points that support his conclusion about changes in the thinking of Vladimir Putin and Kremlin insiders which provide support for his conclusions (rusmonitor.com/sergej-belanovskij-kak-nyneshnyuyu-situacziyu-v-strane-vidyat-rossijskie-vlasti.html).
- “Liberalism as an economic doctrine in Russia” has lost support and that puts the country on the path to a long-term and ever-deepening economic crisis.
- “Oil and gas incomes for the Russian budget have passed their peak and, in the future, will only decline further.” The regime has no plans for overcoming that.
- “Foreign pressure on Russia is already strong and will continue to intensify.”
- Russia is going to have to rely exclusively on its own resources.
- Given liberalism’s demise as a load star, the compass in Kremlin thinking has swung to the opposite pole, to Stalinism and centralization of control and distribution of resources.
- Interest in giant mega-projects is increasing.
- At the same time, the Kremlin realizes that these won’t be enough and is devoting more attention to boosting small business.
- The Kremlin is casting about for the resources it will need to carry out giant projects.
- Whatever the regime does, Belanovsky says, the Russian people will not see any significant improvement in their situation for at least 25 years.
- “The patience of the population is already at the limit,” and some in the Kremlin are worried about a Belarusian scenario in Russia.
- The Kremlin’s key problem is mobilizing the population while maintaining stability.
- The only way to do that, given the rejection of alternatives, is totalitarianism.
- In the Kremlin’s view, “democracy and ‘a Perestroika 2’ would lead to the disintegration of the country.
- Within limits, the Kremlin knows it needs to put relations with the West on a more stable and predictable basis.
- Despite all these problems, the Kremlin is prepared to fight to the end rather than making concessions it opposes.
- All these problems are compounded by the weakening of Putin with age and the inevitability of a transition.
- The Kremlin believes it must choose between dictatorship and chaos and is committed to saving the country via the first.
- But maintaining such a regime requires that the population have at least minimal support and some goal to hope for. The Kremlin at present isn’t providing either.
(c) Window on Eurasia
Want to know where all the money goes in Russia? Well it ain’t here, this beautiful place is situated just 15km outside of Moscow. This is Russification at it’s finest.
https://ukrainetodayorg.files.wordpress.com/2021/01/fb_img_1610132427109.jpg
We have the same kind of buildings outside Oslo, but there it’s called a museum to show how people was living 100 to 200 years ago 😊
There is on in Kyiv too. It is called the outdoor museum, a range of wooden buildings from the 1800s. Just wondering when tarmac will be discovered in Russia? The days of horse and cart tracks is long gone. 🤣
Whore or horse? 😂
Could be both in Russia. 🤣
The least surprising news of the year. Trump won’t attend Biden’s inauguration, the first ex president since 1869 to do so.
I was reading about it in NYT some minutes ago, he’s a coward! Will he flee the country, or stay in Florida?
Q: How do you know that one of the dead in the Capitol was a Trump supporter?
A: He tazed himself in the balls and got a heart attack 🙂
You do a wonderful job of describing your own intellect.
Then your hero is permanently suspended on Twitter 😉
Next week he will be impeached for the second time, he’s a winner. Or is it spelled whiner? English isn’t my first language 🙂
He’s the first Confederate president from the North. 😀
He’s hardly a confederate. He changed party affiliations more times than he played golf. 😂
Anyone who thought a man, who admitted to being a voluntary communist would do better than the communists, was deluded from the start. Yeltsin did a poor job as he allowed oligarchs, actually former apparatchiks, to run off with the country’s assets. Putin has been well paid to allow the steal to continue.
The Russia has been a sewer for a very long time and it has gotten only worse under its beady-eyed rat, Putin.
If ever the country should get a real leader, he or she will have a superhuman job to undo the damage that Vlad the bloodsucker has caused.
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=3824493030914394&set=a.71900254813014
https://ukrainetodayorg.files.wordpress.com/2021/01/photo_87158.jpg
The guy on the left was not a Trump supporter and Antifa has admitted to being the people behind the riot at the US Capital.
The two guys are the Russians who tried to murder Skripal with Novichok, it’s called satire. As for your other claim, this is the latest from Fox news.
“Ken Kohl, a senior official in the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Columbia said Friday investigators found no indication of Antifa involvement in Wednesday’s riots. There also were no instances of members of the anti-fascism movement posing as Trump supporters to frame them.”
Apparently Ken Kohl doesn’t watch Fox News, a guy from Utah Antifa was interviewed there.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/anti-trump-activist-entered-capitol-wednesday
Anyone entering that building has to be identified and charged as far as I’m concerned. There is no excuse whatsoever to break into that building. I have no doubt that all the extremist trash they can find would have taken part in this protest, both right and left.
Absolutely. There were provocateurs just like everywhere else, taking advantage of people’s emotions. Yelling, burn it all or hang him! Interesting fact that Antifa started in Moskovia after WWII. It was contradictory then as it is now.
Slightly off topic. Seems to be a lot of commenters on Fox talking about senators having term limits, just like the POTUS. I think it would be a great idea, it would empty the swamp regularly, but I can’t see the senate voting for that, could you?
Nope I don’t see it…but…I didn’t see the Rada getting rid of immunity either.
It may be possible if they postdate the enactment for 10 years or something like that. The Senate is a different animal though, it should be different than the House or it would become similar and useless. As an example, Biden and the Socialists are considering getting rid of the filibuster rules. If they succeed the Senate will become just like a mini-house and worthless. Best to start any talk of term limits should begin in the House in my opinion.
Either none have yet been caught/identified or some were and it’s under hush-hush. Regardless of which, I firmly believe that this scum was in some way involved. What better way is there to demolish Republican/conservative ideals? This action has upset the whole nation and with good reason. It should never have happened!
These terrorists, right or left, will get a very different reception should they try anything at the inauguration.
I hope so! And, I do hope more that this was the last of such bullshit that we will see and this from both sides!