German Intelligence Service believes Russian attack on NATO is possible in the coming years

“Russia is preparing for a war with the West,” says BND chief Bruno Kahl. A limited Russian attack with the aim of destroying NATO is possible.

November 27, 2024 – Translated from German via Google and OFP

Bruno Kahl, President of the Federal Intelligence Service, comes as a witness to the public hearing of the 1st Committee of Inquiry “Afghanistan” of the Bundestag.04/07/2024 © Kay Nietfeld/​dpa

According to the President of the Federal Intelligence Service ( BND ), Bruno Kahl, Russia could launch an attack on NATO territory in the coming years . ” Russia is preparing for a war with the West,” said Kahl at an event organized by the German Council on Foreign Relations in Berlin. “A military confrontation is becoming a possible course of action for the Kremlin.” He assumes that the Russian military will have the personnel and material to “carry out an attack on the West” by the end of the decade.

According to Kahl, a large-scale attack on the European NATO countries is not to be expected. Russia could therefore rather try to circumvent the commitment to assistance laid down in the North Atlantic Treaty – and thus cause the Western alliance to fail. If Russia were to attack a NATO member militarily and the other member states did not see this as an attack on the entire alliance and react accordingly, Russia would have achieved its goal.

According to BND, Russia doubts the validity of NATO Article 5

Kahl quoted BND assessments that high-ranking Russian government officials now have doubts “as to whether the obligation to provide assistance under Article 5 would hold in an emergency.” The BND chief said: “At present, there is no evidence of Russia’s concrete intentions to go to war. But if such views prevail in the Russian government headquarters, the risk of a military conflict will grow in the coming years.”

Kahl mentioned possible scenarios as a short attack on the Norwegian Arctic island of Spitsbergen for “territorial clearance” or a limited intervention with “little green men” in Baltic states under the pretext of protecting Russian minorities. Russia is concerned about the failure of NATO as a defense alliance, said Kahl. “From Russia’s point of view, that would be achieved if Article 5 remained ineffective in the event of an attack.”

Before a possible war starts, however, Russia will try to split NATO, said Kahl. This could happen, for example, if the Russian government draws individual member states to its side. Head of state Vladimir Putin will “test the West’s red lines and escalate further.”

US President-elect Donald Trump has also repeatedly questioned the obligation to provide assistance as set out in Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.

https://www.zeit.de/politik/2024-11/bnd-chef-bruno-kahl-russland-angriff-nato

3 comments

  1. “Before a possible war starts, however, Russia will try to split NATO, said Kahl. This could happen, for example, if the Russian government draws individual member states to its side. Head of state Vladimir Putin will “test the West’s red lines and escalate further.”

    NATO is already cracked. We have Hungary and Slovakia, which are far from being allies to NATO, but more so to mafia land. We now also have Romania sitting on the precipice. And nobody knows what the future looks like with NATO’s biggest member when Trump assumes office.

    NATO has shown that it is unable to go to war or even to defend its airspace. It can’t provide the amount of ammo that even the hermit kingdom is providing to mafia land and refused to protect its own airspace from missiles and attack drones.
    What signals does this send out to mafia land and its evil allies?
    The German intelligence report is a half-assed measure. An attack on NATO is very likely. It will happen soon after a defeat of Ukraine, seeing that the war criminal is not the youngest anymore, and will be done with the help of Ukrainian military. I expect Moldova to go next, before the war criminal will go to either Poland or the Baltics.
    To end all of this is to assure a Ukrainian victory.

  2. Nato and the EU are already harbouring criminal regimes such as Orbanistan and Ficostan. Yet they continue to enjoy all the benefits of membership whilst steadily working for the cause of putinaZiism.
    All this gives the rat nazi a belly laugh every fucking morning: he can’t believe how feeble and stupid we all are.

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