Petro Andriushchenko
Head of Center for the Study of the Occupation I Керівник Центру вивчення окупації I Consultant & Analyst
Interregional Academy of Personnel Management Center for the Study of the Occupation I Центр вивчення окупації
Ukraine
June 13, 2025
Europe is at war. Not just us anymore.
Europe is preparing for war with Russia. Loud statements. Bigger budgets. Military production lines ramping up.
Headquarters and governments run WarGames. They speak in timelines of 3 to 5 years.
It all sounds rational. Reassuring even.
But here’s the truth Europe still refuses to admit: they’re already in the war.
They’re preparing for future missile strikes, landings on northern shores, full-scale offensives.
But Russia is already attacking — and not hypothetically. What’s being revealed is not just weakness — it’s unpreparedness for a new kind of European war.
In a recent episode of the podcast War Game, the UK government debated whether a potential Russian strike would be conventional or nuclear. Meanwhile, Russia has already been severing undersea internet cables in the Baltic using civilian ships.
This is hybrid warfare. No explosions. But who said there would be? At least, not right away.
Our European partners are studying our experience — but only since 2022.
Not how the war began. Not how Yanukovych happened.
Not what Tuzla was.
Not who shot down the Israeli plane — or covered it up.
Not the gas deals.
Not the extension of Sevastopol’s lease.
Not the seizure of lighthouses in Crimea.
But that was the real beginning of our war.
And Europe has already been attacked.
The artificial migrant crisis on the Poland-Belarus border.
Cut communication cables.
Airspace incursions.
Poisonings in the UK.
All attacks. All swallowed. Ignored. Underestimated.
Now Russia is playing stronger cards:
Far-right movements gaining ground across Europe.
Public thanks to Musk and Trump — because they’ve already lost.
Suddenly, quietly. But lost.
For now.
Pro-Russian MPs in Latvia once again demand “protection of the Russian language”.
Out loud.
Unpunished.
In year four of a full-scale war.
The Orban-Fico-Vučić trio? Not “pragmatic”. Just familiar.
It’s Yanukovych all over again — step by step.
Same script. Different stage.
And let’s not even start on the number of Russian citizens freely travelling across Europe.
How many are already here?
Spies. Coordinators. Spotters.
People building lists of patriots. And future collaborators.
Has any EU government shut that gate? No.
These are not signs of a possible war.
These are acts of war.
Russia is not preparing for war.
Russia is at war.
And so is Europe — only it refuses to see it.
But it will have to.
Especially now, with the U.S. drifting back toward Trump, we must face reality together:
This is our common war.
Not in 3 to 5 years.
Now.
We’ll either stand and win — together —
or Europe won’t face “just another war”.
It’ll face a new world order.
Not the one built around “Never again.”
But the Russia that proudly claims: “We can do it again.”
Comment from :
Petro Andriushchenko: And “there it is folks, all hidden in plain sight.” It’s showtime and you’re at risk of getting caught with your shorts about the ankles. Wake up, Europe!
Petro Andriushchenko, I fully agree with your point as I also think that 90% of European countries continue to bury their heads in the sand and pretend that the imminent russian military invasion will somehow just magically vanish into the thin air.
STAR COMMENT from :
By looking back, Russia’s hybrid war with Europe was announced by Putin himself at the Munich security conference in February 2007, and the first salvo was the massive cyberattack against Estonia in April that year. The same year Putin had started in April at the Bucharest summit in April 2008 that “George, you don’t understand, Ukraine is not even a country” (he was talking to George W. Bush) but the same year he assured the audience in an interview that he has no territorial change in mind and respects the borders in an interview with German TV station ARD. The first kinetic action was against Georgia in August 2008, due to the increasingly European direction the country had been taking under the presidency of Mikheil Saakashvili – I don’t remember what the Russian pretext was, but it is irrelevant anyway.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4VOJ7mEviQY
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/03/17/putins-pique
Vladimir Putin was an aggressive liar almost 20 years ago, he had his mind made up, but he talked on two voices, trying to gaslight the Europeans, his main hydrocarbon market. We’ve been had until basically the full scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 – when the war had started in 2014, Europe barely moved a finger.
……….
Another post from Petro. June 14:
🔥Night Chronicles: 🇺🇦UA Drones Strikes
A massive Ukrainian drone attack hit at least two key Russian industrial facilities overnight. As usual, Russia’s Ministry of Defence reported “successful air defenses,” claiming 66 drones were shot down. And yet…
💥 Novokuybyshevsk, Samara Region
A strike on the Novokuybyshevsk Petrochemical Company — a major producer of methyl-tert-amyl ether, phenol, acetone, benzene, and the only synthetic ethanol manufacturer in Russia. The plant outputs over 50 types of hazardous chemicals, with an annual capacity of 1 million tons. Expect disruptions in olefins and PTBF supplies for Russian industry.
💥 Nevinnomyssk, Stavropol Krai
A hit on the giant Nevinnomysskiy Azot — Russia’s largest producer of ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers, part of the EuroChem group. Annual output exceeds 1 million tons of ammonia. The plant also hosts Russia’s only facilities for methyl acetate and high-purity acetic acid, and the first melamine and potassium nitrate production lines.
Coordinates are public: 44.6586, 41.9511.
💥 Voronezh
Air defense activity recorded, along with damage on the ground. Still verifying whether it’s the result of the strike or Russian SAM failures.
Meanwhile, the occupied part of Zaporizhzhia was loud last night. Melitopol and Berdyansk reported explosions, air defense activity, and aircraft noise. Awaiting confirmation of results.
Maybe one day the Europeans will get to savor the joys of getting bombed and invaded while it gets an arm tied behind its back? Quite frankly, it would be poetic justice.