10/06/2024
Hundreds of millions of Europeans are voting to select 720 Members of the European Parliament, and rising support for the far right prompted Emmanuel Macron to call early elections in France.
With polls now closed for European elections, it’s now becoming clear who the winners and losers are across the EU’s 27 Member States.
Italy’s leader Giorgia Meloni has cemented her role as a key Brussels power broker with an estimated 28% of the votes, while in France, President Emmanuel Macron has performed so badly he’s been pushed to call snap elections.
The winners:
- France’s National Rally, for winning in France. The election result triggered snap elections.
- The EPP group, for remaining the biggest group in the Parliament, and gaining 13 seats compared to 2019.
- Italy’s Giorgia Meloni, for securing her role as kingmaker in the elections.
The losers:
- The Greens in Austria and Germany, for performing a lot worse than expected.
- The liberal Renew group across the different member states, it lost 20 seats compared to 2019.
- The Social-Democrats in Germany: Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s party finished on a shared second place with the far-right AfD, behind the EPP.
First estimate
A first estimate of election results produced by the European Parliament suggests the Green and liberal Renew parties each losing around 20 MEPs, potentially endangering the pro-European majority needed to back top officials and support EU laws.
A projection released just after midnight, produced after all polls closed, shows the Green party taking just 53 MEPs, compared to 72 in March 2024.
Renew, spearheaded by Macron, fell from 102 seats to 83, the figures suggest, leading the President to take the surprising move of dissolving the country’s National Assembly.
That collapse is accompanied by rising support for the extreme parties, even if some of those have not yet been allocated to political groups.
In France, projections suggest the far-right National Rally (RN) party, has secured a whopping 31.5% of the votes — more than twice the number gained by Macron, who released a message on Twitter.
“France needs a clear majority to operate in calm and and concord,” Macron said. “I’ve understood your message, your preoccupations, and I won’t leave them without a response.”
The far-right FPÖ is also predicted to top the poll in Austria, doubling its number of MEPs to six after gaining 25.7% of votes, the European Parliament projection said.
In Germany, the Christian-Democrat CDU and CSU party is projected to get just over 30% of the vote, similar to its 29% from 2019. In the latest forecast, far-right Alternative for Germany comes third with 14.2%, up from 11% in 2019, and just behind the Social Democrats of Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/18305263/embed?auto=1
Exit polls suggest Meloni’s Brothers of Italy, which belongs to the right-wing European Conservatives and Reformists grouping, has performed much better than the centre-left Democratic Party opposition, whose support is estimated at 23.7%.
Forza Italia and Lega, two other parties in Meloni’s governing coalition, don’t appear to have fared so well, with 10.5 and 8% respectively.
Those rightward trends are confirmed in Spain, where Vox is expected to increase its representation by two to three MEPs, while newcomers “The Party Is Over”, also identified as far-right populist, will gain their first ever two or three MEPs, exit polls suggest.
https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/18240490/embed?auto=1
After four days of voting, the projections for the new legislative chamber are still not final.
Netherlands already confirmed swing to the right
In countries such as the Netherlands, voting took place on Thursday — and the latest projections suggests Geert Wilders’ right-wing PVV party will scoop six seats.
That swing was not as extreme as some had expected, enabling the GreenLeft-Labour alliance, which is forecast by the exit poll to take eight Dutch seats in the European Parliament, to claim victory.
The elections, the world’s largest multi-state democratic exercise, determine which 720 Members of the European Parliament get to deliberate on EU legislation over the next five years.
It takes place after a turbulent period dominated by the Covid-19 pandemic and full-scale invasion of Ukraine — not to mention a soaring cost of living that came to dominate voter concerns.
Tasks ahead
Among MEPs’ first tasks will be to approve the candidate to lead the European Commission, with incumbent president Ursula von der Leyen hoping to secure a second term.
No single party has a majority in the European Parliament, and votes are often decided issue-by-issue by finding a coalition that commands the required majority.
The chamber has always been dominated by its two large groups, the centre-right European People’s Party and centre-left Socialists.
The two lost their combined majority in the 2019 elections, since when they’ve had to form informal alliances with parties such as the Greens and Liberals — and projections suggest they’re unlikely to regain it in 2024.
https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/18233912/embed?auto=1
https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/18234826/embed?auto=1
MEPs will also get to amend or oppose new legislative proposals — leaving the fate of the EU Green Deal, an ambitious set of laws to cut carbon emissions, in the balance.
Each country is allocated a set number of MEPs in line with population, ranging from 96 for Germany, to just six each in Cyprus, Malta and Luxembourg.
For the first time since direct elections began in 1979, the count won’t include the UK — whose 73 MEPs left after Brexit day in February 2020.
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/06/09/eu-election-results-hang-in-the-balance-as-polls-close
As I’ve said numerous times before, many European parties and politicians are asleep at the wheel. I don’t only mean what’s going on in Ukraine and the russia, but on their own turf. I know that some will differ on this, but I think that they’ve allowed too many immigrants to enter the already overcrowded continent, leaving many of their citizens carrying an increasing burden of increased cost of living, taxes, an overstretched housing market, deteriorating education system, increased fear of terrorism and crime, and so forth. Add to this a large and terrible war that has been allowed to rage for too long already, even though it could’ve been made to end in Ukraine’s favor if the will and courage was there.
Maybe this latest election will force the continent’s politicians to slowly wake up, but what will the established parties do about the many problems? They better realize that through their lethargy, their people are being driven into the arms of rat catchers. Many are simply too stupid to realize that they are exchanging one evil for a worse evil.
The EU was formed to facilitate trade, promote liberal ideas and ensure that Europe would never again be threatened by fascism. It achieved the exact opposite: a trade-based consortium morphed ironically into a Franco-German hegemony that incredibly gave the vile regime of putlerstan an opportunity to enrich itself and its nazi war machine.
Thanks a lot fucktards!
Now, thanks to EU policies, there are 44 million settlers from hostile Islamist cultures already making their presence felt in a far from pleasant way. That, along with vile putlerist propaganda, is why Europe is electing putinoid scum like Le Pen, who will reverse Macron’s Ukraine policy.
The UK is still asleep at the wheel with Labor scum ahead.
by the way,
Franco-German hegemony, if it ever existed, would be due to the fact that England has always had one foot outside the EU group, being moreover the Trojan horse of the USA who are only interested – for their domination – by a Europe of castrates and consumers.
… which is ultimately a bad calculation for everyone.
French “gratitude” to the US and UK for saving them from two world wars is illustrated perfectly in that comment.
The French pejorative for the US and UK is even the same as that of your old allies the putinaZis : “Anglo-Saxons.”
I’d have preferred to stay in the EU, but thanks to the attitude of people like you, I’m glad we’re out.
If I was Ukraine, I wouldn’t put too much faith in Macron. So far he’s promised much but actually delivered next to nothing.
It’s really more complex than you want to say!
Being grateful does not take anything away from the dark side of each other and particularly in calculations of domination.
the USA like the others are not “pure” actors by being only love. we don’t have to be naive. especially after the story of the Australian submarines 😉 the USA has qualities and faults and knows how to go to other countries to discreetly torture or do stupid things and harm the entire West. it is not being ungrateful to say it but simply being lucid. and it’s a good start to improve you should try 😉 sometimes you’re like poutine it’s never your fault! 🙂
Your asinine reply only serves to drive home the points I already made!
If the USA really wanted to dominate Europe, why didn’t they after WWI or WWII? The USA has never taken an inch of land from anyone but has lost millions of men and women protecting Europe. I find your remarks myopic, rude and uninformed.
News now says Orban lost 8% to the Opposition party. 🙂
That’s curious as to what is the message that is being sent? Is it that Orban and his party have gone to far or is it specific to Orban? What else could be the message ?
The Opposition in Hungary is getting stronger and stronger. As I remember it, there will now be 11 Opposition seats in the EP and only 7 supporting Orban. Hopefully now his evil obstructions will come to an end. If not, it looks like his support will continue waning.
To answer your question, I would say the good people of Hungary have had it after 14 years of the same PM.
Deport all criminals and strip them of western citizenship ASAP!
2nd world war => baby boom => papy boom => demographic collapse with collapse in the volume of wealth produced.
to counter the collapse of the production of wealth there is a need to replace the old and the dead with a certain immigration, new blood, in order to maintain the system, its characteristics, and its functioning.
otherwise it is the shrinking and impoverishment of the group. group which will then remain very homogeneous in its aging, shrinkage and impoverishment. failing to have children, we must choose between deadly purity and impoverishment or promising interbreeding 😉 of course the question arises of the management of the new group to be organized/invented…
Breed with a rat! Purity, Christianity and Liberty! 🎖
“…to counter the collapse of the production of wealth there is a need to replace the old and the dead with a certain immigration, new blood…”
lorangebleue, this is the sort of bullshit that the various countries and parties want you to swallow. If governments created family-friendly laws and open enough day care centers for working couples, much of the problem about low birth rates would be solved. These are just two ideas that could be easily implemented. There is no need to import all sorts of scum from abroad.