Can 100 Rafale Jets CHANGE Ukraine’s War with russia? (video commentary)

11/21/2025

Kyiv signed a letter of intent to buy up to 100 Rafale F4 fighters from France. Not leased. Not borrowed. Bought. And when you add in the incoming Gripens and the F-16 fleet already on the ramp, Ukraine is building a Western air force that Russia cannot easily counter, outrun, or shove out of the sky.

In today’s video, I break down what this Rafale deal actually means, how it changes Ukraine’s long-term airpower, and why this jet is closer to the Gripen than it is to the F-16. This is the first time Ukraine is designing its own multi-tier fighter ecosystem instead of inheriting Soviet leftovers.

The Rafale F4 is the heavyweight of the trio. It’s a twin-engine “missile truck” with deep-strike capability, long-range detection, and sensor fusion that would make Russian avionics engineers curl up like overcooked borscht. Pair it with Meteor, which Ukraine will eventually get, and you have a weapon that forces Russian fighters so far back that glide-bomb attacks become impossible.

I walk through how this future fleet fits together:

  • F-16s for frontline volume and quick fielding
  • Gripen E for dispersed operations, electronic warfare, and Meteor
  • Rafale F4 for air dominance, long-range strike, and heavy integration with Western weapons

This is layered capability. An Avengers-style fighter lineup where each jet brings a unique superpower.

I also dig into the production challenges, the political financing, the cost realities, and the long-term strategy behind this deal. Dassault has a nine-year backlog, so this isn’t about today’s war, it’s about the 2030s, about ensuring Russia never again gets within artillery distance of Kharkiv, Sumy, or Odesa.

Most importantly, this is a declaration: Ukraine is done surviving. It is building permanence. It is designing a Western, modern, lethal air force built to outlive this war and prevent the next one.

You’re going to want to watch this one all the way through, because I break down how these jets complement each other, how they shift the air defense calculus, and why Putin is absolutely not sleeping well tonight.

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Glory to Ukraine! Glory to the heroes! Crimea is Ukraine!

Source: Wes O’Donnell

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