Analysis shows a two-thirds majority for the Hungarian opposition

April 8, 2026

Opposition leader Péter Magyar could become Hungary’s next prime minister. © Denes Erdos/AP/dpa

According to an analysis, the Tisza party could achieve a two-thirds majority in Hungary’s parliamentary elections. This would allow them to amend the constitution.

According to a new poll, the Hungarian opposition party Tisza has a good chance of winning a two-thirds majority in Sunday’s parliamentary elections . This is the conclusion of an analysis by the Median polling institute. The poll indicates that Tisza, led by challenger Péter Magyar, could win between 138 and 142 of the 199 parliamentary seats. A two-thirds majority requires 133 seats.

Such a majority would allow the party to amend the constitution and fundamental laws, for example, to release blocked EU funds. According to projections, Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party would win 49 to 55 seats, while the far-right party Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland) would win five or six seats. Fidesz itself has held a two-thirds majority for most of the period since 2010 and has used it to pass a new constitution and change the electoral law.

Parliamentary elections in Hungary: Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán could be voted out of office after 16 years as Prime Minister.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán could be voted out of office after 16 years in power. © Marton Monus/Reuters

The Median estimate is based on an analysis of the institute’s five most recent polls, conducted between the end of February and March, with a total of 5,000 respondents. Median is considered one of Hungary’s most reliable polling institutes. It correctly predicted the outcome of the last election four years ago, although it slightly overestimated support for the opposition at that time.

US Vice President JD Vance visits Budapest

Meanwhile,  US Vice President JD Vance, during a visit to Budapest, demonstratively supported Orbán’s government and accused the EU of “election interference.” “Bureaucrats in Brussels” have “done everything in their power to keep the Hungarian people down because they don’t like the prime minister,” Vance said. 

The German government rejected the accusation: Vance’s visit “a few days before the parliamentary elections in Hungary” shows “who is interfering in what,” said Deputy Government Spokesman Sebastian Hille. Regarding the election, Hille said that, as with democratic elections in EU member states, Chancellor Friedrich Merz has “no preferences” and will accept “how the people in the respective member states vote.”

The SPD also criticized Vance’s appearance. Parliamentary manager Dirk Wiese accused him of having presented himself “as a willing campaign helper for Orbán.” He stated that it was the US government that was “actively interfering in intra-European elections” for a head of government who “is not actively on the side of the European Union, but rather on the side of Moscow.”

Orbán is considered pro-Russian and has repeatedly blocked EU decisions to support Ukraine, most recently at the EU summit in March, 
when he prevented the release of a multi-billion euro loan for the country. Merz subsequently announced “consequences” and described Orbán’s behavior as a “gross breach of the loyalty between member states.”

https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-04/ungarn-tisza-parlamentswahl-peter-magyar-viktor-orban-gxe

11 comments

  1. A two-third majority is impossible to catch up to, and the visit of Mr. Makeupman, the couch humper, likely made things worse for the fat, ugly, fascist toad.

  2. There was a time when US political leaders had a favorite or a preference but until now they kept their fuckin mouths shut. I so look forward to going back to something called normal

    • That makes two of us, Sir Cap. I can hardly wait to see the tail end of this disgusting administration, and hopefully see some stupid faces behind bars.

  3. VanZkov is even more lying, fascistic and pro-putler than Krasnov. Which is why he was picked of course.
    His repulsive behaviour in Budapest is a sour taste of what is to come if he takes over.

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