Four days of Ukrainian assaults near Bakhmut and western Zaporizhzhia, and new offensive action near boundary of Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions show a new phase of the counteroffensive has begun.
June 9, 2023
With Ukrainian assaults in three parts of the front over the last four days, there are clear signs that Ukraine’s much-anticipated counteroffensive against Russian-occupied territories has started.
Following many weeks of ‘shaping activities’ prior to a counteroffensive, offensive pushes by Ukrainian military forces have taken place around Bakhmut in the Donetsk region, southwest of Orikhiv in the western Zaporizhzhia region, and around Velyka Novosilka, near the border of Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions.
Since Sunday, June 4, Ukrainian units have been hitting Russian positions on the southern and northern flanks of Bakhmut and have made advances of up to 1,600 meters, according to both Ukraine’s Deputy Minister for Defense Hanna Malyar and Serhiy Cherevaty, the official spokespersons for Ukraine’s eastern military forces.
Since Sunday, June 4, Ukrainian units have conducted operations against Russian positions in occupied western Zaporizhzhia oblast, including 15 kilometers southwest of the city of Orikhiv, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
“Ukrainian forces conducted a limited, but still significant attack in the western Zaporizhzhia Region on the night of June 7 to 8,” ISW said in its daily campaign update. “Russian forces apparently defended against this attack in a doctrinally sound manner and had reportedly regained their initial positions as of June 8.”
ISW said that Russian sources began reporting late at night on June 7 that elements of Ukrainian brigades that have recently been equipped with Western kit launched an attack southwest of Orikhiv in the western Zaporizhzhia region with the aim of breaking through the Russian defensive line between Robotyne and Verbove, both about 15 kilometers southeast of Orikhiv.
Geolocational footage, ISW said, showed that Ukrainian forces most likely broke through the first line of defense in this area, but that Russian elements succeeded in counterattacking and eventually pushing Ukrainian forces back to their original positions.
The moves around Zaporizhzhia, which is part of the Russian-occupied land bridge from mainland Russia to Crimea, were also today reported by Washington Post.
It wrote that “Ukrainian troops, including specialized attack units armed with Western weapons and trained in NATO tactics, intensified their strikes on front-line positions in the country’s southeast Wednesday night, according to [anonymous] four members of the country’s armed forces, beginning a significant push into Russian-occupied territory.”
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said Ukrainian forces tried to break through the lines of the Russian army in the Zaporizhzhia region, using up to 1,500 troops and 150 armored vehicles.
Video released by the Russian Ministry of Defense on Thursday and independently verified by Washington Post showed a Ukrainian tank being destroyed in the Zaporizhzhia region.
An aerial photo of the same scene showed a column of at least six Ukrainian military vehicles, which appear to include German-made Leopard 2 tanks, according to two military analysts that Washington Post interviewed. The Leopard 2 tanks have not been seen in combat in Ukraine up until this week.
Yesterday, reports also emerged that Ukrainian units attacked Russian positions near Velyka Novosilka, a town near the administrative border of the Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions.
Valeriy Shershen, a spokesperson for Ukrainian military units located across much of the eastern and southern front line, confirmed to Washington Post that there was “more activity” in the Zaporizhzhia region, but added that he “wouldn’t say it’s something major.” In the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukrainian forces are generally “still in a defense operation,” Shershen said.
Shershen also described to Washington Post “small counteroffensive activities” on a local scale, such as a fight for Velyka Novosilka, a village in the Donetsk region just east of Zaporizhzhia.
The direct moves involving mechanized infantry units follow many weeks of “shaping operations” by Ukrainian forces including air, missile, drone and special operations attacks against Russian logistics centers, oil refineries, command centers, and troop concentrations. It also comes after incursions by military forces into the Belgorod region in Russia.
I haven’t heard anything about the massive use of Western tanks and IFVs, so I’m still not sure if this is the big one. Of course, these attacks could be the trailblazers for more to come, or they could be probing the enemy’s defenses. I am a bit disappointed, if this is the offensive, because attacking Belarus could have been an easier campaign with less death and destruction to the AFU. An attack on Transnistria first would also have been better, or increasing the attacks against mafia land itself.
At any rate, let’s pray and hope that the offensive will be a success with as few Ukrainian casualties as possible and with an absolute maximum of dead roaches.
Yeah, where are the Bradleys?