Social explosion is imminent.
1.04.2024
Yesterday, March 31, Russian dictator Putin signed a decree on spring conscription for compulsory military service in Russia. Between April 1 and July 15, 150,000 conscripts are scheduled to be called up for service.
Is this a hidden mobilisation? Charter97.org asked this and other questions to the Ukrainian military analyst, colonel in reserve of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Petro Chernik:
– Partially, yes, there is a certain threat that in 6-8 months they will force someone to switch to a contract and send them to the occupation zone.
– Will this be a mass phenomenon?
– I think not. Shoigu (Russian Defence Minister – note) has sent a clear signal that they are creating 16 new brigades, 14 new divisions and two general armoured armies. Purely by the numbers: a brigade is up to 5,000 men, a division – 12,500. It is obvious that they need to be taken somewhere. There will definitely be a manoeuvre, but I don’t think it will be highly scaled.
– A lot of people link the attack on the Crocus City Hall with the announcement of a general mobilisation in Russia. Are there any preconditions for this?
– I have no doubt that they have organised this terrorist attack themselves, but the question is the goal. What did they have in mind? We will not see that now. The history of special operations shows that, as a rule, such things (seriously documented) are revealed after 30-50 years, even more.
Perhaps Putin decided to untie his hands for mobilisation in this way. Maybe he is being set up in this way by one of the “Kremlin towers” to push him to cross “black lines,” for example, to launch a tactical nuclear strike.
Some more time will have to pass before serious conclusions can be drawn. It also depends on whether there will be more terrorist attacks. Then the picture will be completed.
To summarise, firstly, Russia is boiling over, which is a very good thing. Secondly, Putin is not going to give up. That’s dangerous. After all, they have between 1.5 and 3 million mobilisation resource, unfortunately. As I said earlier, this is an existential war: either we them or they us.
I emphasise that there is a growing crisis in Russia, and a social explosion is imminent. The only question is when and under what circumstances.
Putin has opened Pandora’s Box, and I hope he will drown in it. We remember the fundamental rule: the empire must be destroyed. And so it will be. These are complex processes, as history shows, but everything is going in the right direction.
https://charter97.org/en/news/2024/4/1/589799
“Perhaps Putin decided to untie his hands for mobilisation in this way. Maybe he is being set up in this way by one of the “Kremlin towers” to push him to cross “black lines,” for example, to launch a tactical nuclear strike.”
If the kremlin was involved in the Crocus attack, then most likely the first reason is the most viable one. I doubt that they will ever use nukes. They would anger and might even lose their most important allies china and india. The other two sick shitholes, iran and north korea would jump with joy.
All together, the colonel has an upbeat view as for the strains in mafia land’s society. We’ll see about that, but I won’t hold my breath.
I honestly don’t believe they organised it for a few reasons.
The first one is that their response was kinda clumsy and unplanned: they changed narrative several times.
And if it was planned, they had found a more plausible way of “proving” Ukraine was involved.
Also I think it makes Putin look really bad, as he showed himself to be unable to keep Russians safe.
Putin offered the Russians stability after the 1990’s, basically at the price of personal freedom and democracy.
Now he has absolutely nothing to offer or to boast.
Also, it makes him look bad because they were Muslims. Putin pretended to be the guy that ended terrorism from Muslims from Chechnya (by organising attacks himself and then wage war on them) and by his “intervention” in Syria and Libya.
It makes Putin look weak and not in control.
^bert
I also doubt it, but mafia land is so screwed up in so many ways, it’s still a possibility.
Russia is evil. A cauldron of devilry.
As Petro Chernik says, putler is not going to stop. The objective is the complete subjugation of Ukraine into a Russian slave state. That has been known by Five Eyes intel since Q4 of 2021; likely much earlier.
Kremkrapper TV had been calling for the bombing of Ukrainian cities since at least 2020; likely earlier. At the time it sounded like the sick rants of a few depraved nazis, which of course is exactly what it was.
What no one realised at the time was a) it was actually an announcement of pending official putler policy and b) it was and remains what Russian people want.
As Roman Sheremeta said recently: “It is russia’s Putin, not Putin’s russia.”
Full quote:
“It is russia’s Putin, not Putin’s russia.
This is something that many people do not understand. It is not Putin’s war against Ukraine. Even if you take out Putin, nothing will change. He is a symptom of a much bigger sickness.
1) It is not Putin, but russians who are killing Ukrainians, castrating and beheading men, raping women and children (as young as 4 years old), shelling civilians.
2) All the available polls show that most russians support what russia is doing in Ukraine. Some supporters of “good russians theory” will tell me that polls cannot be trusted. Then go and talk to the regular russians on Telegram channels.
3) I have personally been following a number of russian Telegram channels where millions of russians are commenting and freely and anonymously expressing their opinions. It is sickening to read.
4) How many anti-war russian protests have you seen in the US or Western Europe? There are now millions of russians overseas. They have nothing to fear about expressing their antiwar position. And yet, they are either silent or better yet support russia.
So, stop calling this Putin’s war. He is a symptom of a much bigger sickness. Putin is a product of a morally bankrupt russian society, he is the inheritance of the “great russian culture” and the russian empire. No, it is not Putin’s russia, but russia’s Putin. No, it is not Putin’s war, but a genocide against Ukrainian people committed by russians.”
The intention is to swamp Ukraine with piss-stained orcs; eventually millions.
They can be stopped only if they are extirpated daily in numbers that make the occupation completely untenable; at least 2000.
If God willing, the foul scum are eventually forced to retreat back into their shithole, the air attacks will continue, while putler rebuilds for his next invasion.
That is why a cutting edge integrated air defence is essential. As is the establishment of DMZ and permanent bases inside Ukraine for the allies.
That is the best Ukrainians can hope for. The overthrow of putler will more than likely replace one nazi monster with another.
Yes, it’s a cockroach symptom that fixing their shithole requires too much effort and intelligence. It’s easier to try dragging other peoples down into their swamp. No one should live better than they, especially those who used to be a part of the SU.