Putin likely wants to encircle Ukraine, Polish PM says

Feb 2.

Mateusz Morawiecki (Photo:www.facebook.com/MorawieckiPL)

Mateusz Morawiecki (Photo:www.facebook.com/MorawieckiPL) 

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin may be planning an attempt to encircle Ukraine from two or three different directions, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said in an interview with German newspaper Bild on Feb. 1.

“I think this is a plan of Putin and his people, such as Valery Gerasimov, the new commander-in-chief of the Russian army, to surround Ukraine,” he stated.

“And in preparing all these plans, he probably feels that he needs to at-tack from two or three different directions.”

According to Morawiecki, Kyiv cannot rule out attacks from the Belarusian side to encircle Kyiv from the west.

According to the Polish PM, a new Russian offensive will take place in March-April, as the ground is not suitable for heavy tanks due to the warm winter.

“Putin will probably want to wait until all the mud, swamps, and unprepared ground for the offensive dries up,” he said.

Morawiecki warned that the offensive would be fierce.

“According to all the information from Ukraine, I know that there will be another Russian offensive, probably in March or April, and it will be a very tough offensive…” the PM added.

Morawiecki noted that Putin not only hates Ukraine, but also wants to show once again in Russia that he is a “long-haul player who never gives up.”

The prime minister added that the aggressor has “really vast resources,” and Putin has called for and mobilized many new soldiers: from 200,000 to 250,000.

“He has a lot of ammunition, a lot of weapons, and a lot of people,” Morawiecki said.

In a December interview with The Economist, Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi said that the aggressor state could launch a new major offensive in February 2023. Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov predicted that a new large-scale offensive by Russian troops would begin in the spring.

A representative of Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence, Vadym Skibitsky, said that as part of Moscow’s preparations for a new offensive, Russian troops are regrouping on all axes of the front line.

On Jan. 30, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy asserted that despite the Kremlin’s plans, Ukraine would defeat the enemy troops and prepare its own major counteroffensive.

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Also from NV yesterday :

https://english.nv.ua/nation/nv-interview-with-former-ambassador-to-germany-andriy-melnyk-ukraine-news-50301631.html

7 comments

  1. Chilling and horrible.
    Must Ukraine really have to face a gigantic horde of fucking savages all alone just because Milley says so?
    The help received so far is just a small fraction of what is required.
    If Biden refuses to change policy, it must surely be up to Poland and Britain to at least provide some additional air cover for Ukraine?
    If they do that and Biden provides ATACM’s, that might help.
    Apparently GLDSB’s are on the way.

  2. “Russian dictator Vladimir Putin may be planning an attempt to encircle Ukraine from two or three different directions…”

    I just don’t see this scenario to be a realistic one. The north is a difficult direction to attack from. There is a good reason why there weren’t major battles fought there in WWII. And, the AFU have taken appropriate measures to make any incursion from there into a slaughterhouse for orcs. The military forces available in Belarus simply are not sufficient to stand even the slightest chance for success. The constant coming and going of forces and military material is only to train cockroaches and to keep AFU troops material cemented in the region.
    The south up to Vasylivka is also not possible anymore, because the Dnipro posses a formidable barrier.
    This leaves only the south past Vasylivka and the east.

    • The source is the PM of Poland; a pretty reliable source facts!
      I read earlier (can’t remember where) that Polish intel feared a possible attempt by the putinazis to take Lviv oblast. It can’t be ruled out.
      Much, much more help is needed.

      • There are other reliable sources that claim the opposite. In fact, nothing can be completely ruled out, but one must look closer at certain details. What is planned and what can be achieved are often two separate worlds.

      • The original plan was a complete failure, and the second plan will also be one. He’s got less of everything while Ukraine has more of everything, so I can’t comprehend what should be better for mafia land for the next time around. The only thing that the mafia army will have more of is meat puppets, but seeing their performance so far, they are of no help, except to soak Ukrainian soil with their blood.

        • I would like to know better what he is doing in Belarus. I know some people in the Volyn region and they’re beefing up the volunteer patrols and training. Plus I fear Vladolf’s demands in the Donbas could be a distration.

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