Next Two Months Will be Turning Point in War, Says Senior Ukrainian Official

Russia cannot prolong the war any longer, Oleksiy Danilov has said.

by Alisa Orlova | January 13, 2023

Next Two Months Will be Turning Point in War, Says Senior Ukrainian Official

Oleksiy Danilov answers AFP journalists’ questions during an interview in his office, in Kiev on December 24, 2021. “Putin wants to destroy Ukraine” but he will not succeed as all Ukrainians will resists in the event of a Russian invasion, a country’s top security aide told AFP in an interview. Sergei SUPINSKY / AFP

The next few months will mark a critical stage of the war, given that both sides  – Ukraine and Russia – are preparing for a decisive battle, the Secretary of the National Security and Defence Council of Ukraine, has said.


Speaking on the national TV marathon, Oleksiy Danilov said the Russian authorities were fed up with the failures in the war with Ukraine, which is why they’ve decided to remove the commander-in-chief of the so-called ” special military operation,” General Sergei Surovikin, from his post.


The position has gone to General Valery Gerasimov, who moves from Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces to Commander of the Joint Grouping of Forces, the Russian Defense Ministry announced in a statement on the evening of Wednesday, Jan. 12.


This, according to Danilov, indicates that in the coming months, Russia, no longer able to prolong the conflict due to a lack of resources, will go all-in, trying to achieve at least minor victories at the front.

“Certain personnel changes are taking place in Russia now. Surovikin, who is basically the representative of Prigozhin and Kadyrov, has been eliminated.  Certain processes are taking place there, and this is just the beginning,” Danilov explained.


According to him, the situation in Russia is now extremely shaky, and there is a high probability that dictator Vladimir Putin will stumble and give up.


“There are 3.5 armies there today — Kadyrov’s army, Prigozhin’s army, separately the army of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, which do not respect either Kadyrov or Prigozhin, and separately now the power structures that are trying to form another army. A war for power will begin in Russia. You see the state of Putin’s health, and he is very ill. As soon as it weakens, the showdown will begin,” Danilov said.


In addition, according to the NSDC official, the Kremlin, which has a tendency to mark symbolic dates, will try to achieve at least minor success which it can celebrate before Feb. 24, a year to the day on which it began its reinvasion of Ukraine.

Alisa Orlova is an editor and correspondent for Kyiv Post. For the last seven years, she has worked as a TV journalist, covering primarily topics on international policy. Back in September, Alisa joined Kyiv Post team. She is mostly interested in psychology, public relations, sociology, and politics.

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