UA Army General Malomuzh: Armed Forces of Ukraine can break through Putin’s southern corridor; he’s preparing a New Year’s offensive. Interview

13.11.2022 

Translated from Ukrainian via Google

At present, the army of the terrorist country Russia is focused on strengthening the defense. She is unable to advance. The enemy needs to hold on to their positions until new reserves arrive – about 200,000 mobilized. By the New Year, the occupier can prepare the next stage of the offensive operation, in which not only “mobiks” will take part, but also Wagnerites and Kadyrovites.

At the same time, the Ukrainian Defense Forces, after the liberation of Kherson , will have the opportunity to advance in the Kherson and Zaporozhye directions and cut the enemy’s southern corridor located between these two regions. This opinion was expressed in an exclusive interview with OBOZREVATEL by the head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine in 2005-2010, Army General Mykola Malomuzh .

– British intelligence reported that the Russian occupation troops were strengthening the defenses along the entire front line. What is this sign for us? Can we say that the war has entered a new phase, that the enemy is no longer preparing for an offensive?

– First of all, the Russian aggressor needs to hold positions for as long as possible in order to bring up new reserves. In 2-3 months they plan to bring up about 200,000 mobilized people who have been trained in training centers. They did not have the opportunity to conduct offensive operations in the Kherson direction, where they brought up new forces, weapons and equipment, since the Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully destroy them.

In the same way, warehouses and command posts of the occupier in the Zaporozhye region are successfully destroyed, which weakens the enemy’s positions. And, of course, we continue the offensive operation in the area of ​​Svatovo and Kreminnaya, powerfully grinding the enemy.

Therefore, those small reserves that Russia is pulling up do not play a decisive role in moving forward. Although Putin personally ordered to seize the Donetsk region, especially Bakhmut, and in the future the entire region.

Apart from Donetsk, they are not currently planning offensive operations, because there are no large forces and means. The threat of retreat for them is very great. First of all, after retreating from the right bank of the Dnieper, they will try to strengthen their positions on the left bank and in the Zaporozhye region.

Because the enemy assumes that in the future we can strike on the left bank of the Dnieper, where the plains are, and we have the opportunity to use very powerful missiles, for example, HIMARS, M270, other artillery and self-propelled guns. We are getting new tanks, new self-propelled guns that can hit up to 80 kilometers. In the flat territories of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, this is a very powerful weapon.

Therefore, the enemy creates three lines of defense, in particular, in Melitopol. A military base and a third line of defense are being created there, because it is assumed that we can hit not just the left-bank direction of the Kherson region after the liberation of the city of Kherson, but further in the Zaporozhye direction and, in fact, completely cut off the path between Donetsk and Kherson regions, that is, cut the southern corridor. Therefore, now all forces are thrown on defense.

– What could be the plan of the enemy after he manages to pull up the reserves?

“From the New Year on, they plan to carry out offensive operations in various operational directions. That is, to continue moving to capture the Donetsk region, to hold positions in the Zaporozhye region, on the left bank of the Kherson region. If large reserves are brought up, all the more so the groups that are being trained on the basis of the Wagnerites and Kadyrovites will strengthen the decisive areas. For example, Donetsk, Zaporozhye, the left bank of the Kherson direction.

For this, both trained mobilized military and volunteer detachments with a higher level of training will be used, which will strictly control the mobilized both foreign detachments and will be involved in breakthrough areas.

– Now we actually have two fronts: Donbass and southern. Where do you think the Ukrainian army can be more successful in the coming month?

– We cannot disclose the ideas of the command, because this is a very important component for future success. But speaking in general, the liberation of Kherson and the Kherson region is not only a military success, but also a moral and political success. This is practically a failure of Putin’s strategy to capture the southern regions. After all, the only regional center that they control was liberated. This will further raise the morale of our army and our allies.

This will give prospects for further movement along the Kherson and Zaporozhye directions. The southern corridor will be breached by us and freed. This is also a movement towards the Crimea, so this block is very important.

The second direction is Luhansk, where we have some success. Moving on, Svatovo, Kreminnaya – this is the prospect of the liberation of Lisichansk and Severodonetsk and further the Luhansk region, as well as the prospect of a strike from the flanks against the Donetsk group.

– In recent days, the topic of peace talks between Ukraine and Russia has again been updated. French President Macron made a thematic statement that at some point they will have to sit down at the negotiating table, but their condition and time will be determined by Ukraine. Is there a hint here that the West can gently, but put pressure on Ukraine so that it still agrees to negotiations?

– We see that not only Macron, but also Jake Sullivan actually admitted that he is negotiating with Russia in order to prevent radical scenarios, including the use of a tactical-level nuclear bomb on Ukraine, possibly with the prospect of entering into negotiations.

Yes, they are interested in negotiations – both Europe and Turkey, and other partners who work with us. But they all understand that there will be no negotiations until the territories are liberated and Russia agrees to withdraw. Therefore, any pressure has no prospects.

Although I think they feel both the economic and social problems that are weighing on the West, especially on the eve of winter. I think this pressure will increase. But in any case, everyone perfectly understands and supports the formula: negotiations only after the liberation of the territories.

Why talk about negotiations? Because the liberation of Kherson is the prospect of offensive operations. This is an even greater weakening of Putin in the military, military-political and strategic format. And, of course, in the eyes of the Russian elites. And then the hidden opposition forces from his entourage will no longer play for Putin, but to protect their interests and their prospects. Perhaps the change of Putin and the occupation of leading positions.

Therefore, it is very important for the West that we retain the possibility of a negotiation process, and not take a position, as in the presidential decree: we will not communicate with Putin. That is, at the stage of the success of offensive operations, we were ready for negotiations – on the condition that Russia withdraws its troops.

Further, a new model of the world is being formed, providing for guarantees of Ukraine’s security, reparations, compensations, and the like.

But different countries consider differently at what stage to enter into peace negotiations – either at the stage of the first successes after Kherson, but even before the liberation of all territories, or after all, when we will have a strategic success in the complete liberation of at least Kherson , Zaporozhye, partly Lugansk and Donetsk regions.

We support the second format – the liberation of virtually all territories in the perspective of the liberation of Crimea. I think the truth will be somewhere in the middle. At some stage, we will agree to negotiations, but subject to the withdrawal of all troops. Perhaps there will be a separate topic on Crimea, where we will go to the parameters of concluding a peace agreement.

Perhaps at the first stage of negotiations there will be mediators, for example, Erdogan. Unofficially, perhaps the US, Macron and Scholz. Somewhere, Xi Jinping will have his say, saying that they are ready to mediate peace talks, but within the framework of preventing nuclear threats.

I think that such an integrated approach, given our active position, will allow us to reach the model of liberation of the territories. On the one hand, under the pressure of our troops, on the other hand, under the pressure of all our partners.

2 comments

  1. “From the New Year on, they plan to carry out offensive operations in various operational directions. That is, to continue moving to capture the Donetsk region, to hold positions in the Zaporozhye region, on the left bank of the Kherson region.”

    Certainly… the cockroaches have many plans. The only problem is, they can’t fulfill any of them. You simply can’t go on an offensive with a few hundred thousand badly trained, badly equipped, badly spirited meat puppets. The capacity to bring more heavy weapons onto the battlefield has been depleted. The mafiosi will be lucky to hold on to what they have left over, much less gaining more.

    IMHO, the best bet for a breakthrough for UA forces is due south, towards Mariupol. This is the shortest distance to the sea, and it has an important supply artery for the cockroaches. This would cut the mafia-occupied territories in half. And, losing Mariupol would be another devastating blow to mafia land.

    Liked by 5 people

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