The success of the counter-offensive of the Defense Forces in the south of our country, which is about to culminate in the liberation of the right-bank part of the Kherson region and Kherson itself (let’s knock on wood), is due to several factors.
The first is the so-called “Zaluzhny’s pendulum”. Thanks to a relatively small logistical shoulder, the Ukrainian commander-in-chief has the ability to quickly transfer forces and assets from one sector of the front to another, creating a threat to the enemy in different places. At one time, such a strategy allowed the Prussian king Frederick II to safely hold out throughout the Seven Years’ War against the three great powers, avoiding a crushing defeat and the division of his country.
Ukrainian General No. 1 is clearly familiar with military history and creatively uses the achievements of the commanders of the past. He feigned a blow in the south, forced the enemy to pull everything that was most combat-ready there, tied him up in battle, and then broke through the Russian defenses in the northeast. The Russians began to feverishly transfer troops to the Slobozhanshchina and Donbass, but our military leader foresaw their reaction and again stunned the enemy with an unexpected move. When the occupiers had already decided that they had stopped the Ukrainian offensive on Svatovo and were pretty worn out in trying to take Vuhledar, the second series began in the Kherson region. I fully admit that this is not the last surprise from Zaluzhny and his team: Ukraine is great, the Putinists are simply not capable of covering all directions, and our general is cunning and prudent.
The second factor is the very effective use by the Defense Forces of high-precision and long-range missile and artillery systems, which make it possible to do what Western military science calls “war zone isolation.”
Dumskaya wrote about this more than once. Attacks on warehouses, communications (bridges are especially important), headquarters, and concentrations of troops destroy the enemy’s logistics and control system, and prevent him from transferring reinforcements to vulnerable areas. As a result, the danger looms over the enemy grouping to be actually surrounded, with all the ensuing consequences from this fact. She can’t advance and has to roll back, giving up territory. This is exactly what we are seeing now in the Kherson region.
This approach is directly opposite to the classic Soviet concept of a “deep operation” (as well as the German blitzkrieg), which the Russians use in a somewhat simplified form – it involves breaking through the defense and introducing maneuverable forces (primarily tank forces) into the resulting gap, which should cut communications behind enemy lines and create large and small boilers. By the way, as it turns out, Ukrainians also know how to make breakthroughs and maneuvers, which they brilliantly demonstrated in the Kharkiv region – though, alas, without boilers.
And finally, the third factor is the general degradation of the “second army of the world”, which ineptly squandered its best personnel in the first months of the great war, ruined a bunch of equipment and shot up ammunition that had accumulated over decades. Now the aggressor makes up for the loss of personnel with unprepared and demoralized “chmobiks”, and iron with ancient systems of almost Stalinist times and all sorts of rubbish that they managed to purchase from the allied totalitarian regimes. Of course, the quality of all this is frankly lame, and the further it goes, the worse it will be.
There is another factor, no longer military, but political and, I would even say, cultural. Nazi Russia simply has nothing to offer either to the world or to the people who inhabit the temporarily occupied territories. The Putin regime has never been able to set fire to hearts, and has recently lost the ability to bribe – even Ukrainian collaborators are said to have had their pay cut severely this month. And this despite the fact that the mortality rate in their ranks is increased – some go to the next world without even receiving the first thirty pieces of silver.
Instead of a coherent ideology, which, for example, the USSR had, allowing it to get adherents all over the world, today’s Moscow is promoting the wildest Frankenstein, which consists of an emasculated Orthodoxy that has practically lost Jesus; Soviet narratives and something royal, ephemeral. Plus militarism and anti-liberalism with contempt for human rights, including basic ones. Pronounced anti-intellectualism – do you remember what the Russian admiral said about Kant? And no vision of the future – only sighs over the past in the form in which the authorities represent it. All this against the backdrop of an exorbitant level of corruption and stratification of society.
To believe that such a country is able to give something good to humanity can only be completely stubborn, of which there are not so many in Russia itself. And without minimal support, on bayonets alone, it is impossible to keep the captured – the whole world history is an example of this. Moreover, the bayonets are slightly bent. And there are not so many of them – in this respect, Russia is very different from both the Soviet Union and the Romanov Empire. Nonche Russian women give birth badly to new soldiers!
That is why there is no light at the end of the tunnel, where the train called Putin’s Russia has stopped. It ends in a dead end.
Kherson is just one of the beginnings of the beginning. Far be.
Ukraine will definitely win!
Author – Oleg Konstantinov, editor-in-chief of Dumskaya