Hans Petter Midttun. August 27
Morning report day 185 – 27 August: Ukraine continues attacking Russian supply lines in the Kherson oblast. AFU struck an enemy military base in Kadiivka and 200 Russian paratroopers were allegedly eliminated. There are currently more than 20 HIMARS, M270 and MARS multiple rocket systems in service with the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Over the last five days, there has probably been an increase in the intensity of Russian assaults along the Donetsk sector of the Donbas. There is a realistic possibility that Russia has increased its efforts in the Donbas in an attempt to draw in or fix additional Ukrainian units, amid speculation that Ukraine is planning a major counter-offensive, the UK Defence Intelligence assess. Three more Ukrainian regions are to face mandatory civilian evacuation.
Russia can’t stop the war, even if Ukraine drops NATO hopes, former President Dmitry Medvedev says. Russia will continue the campaign until its goals had been achieved.
ME: “Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.” During the first 8 years of the war, the strategic messaging from the West was that we should not supply weapons to Ukraine to avoid an escalation of the conflict. We pursued that policy right up to the point when the conflict escalated into a full-scale war.
Despite the very evident failure of the strategy, we continue to uphold the strategy with only minor adjustments.
Why? The argument is that a war – which already is a broader conflict between Russia and NATO – might escalate into a broader conflict between Russia and NATO.
NATO is once again basing its strategy on the notion that Russia – despite its multiple threats and statements of being at war with the West – will demonstrate restraint.
We have tried negotiating with Russia from a position of weakness before. As a consequence, we have a war on the European continent. “Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.” It is time to coerce or defeat Russia from a position of strength.
“You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour, and you will have war.” (Winston Churchill to Neville Chamberlain)