Factories, ammunition storage areas and oil installations are suspiciously catching fire and exploding in Russia. This is no coincidence. There are millions of Russian citizens who have Ukrainian parents or grandparents. There are millions of Russians who disapprove of the ‘Special Military Operation’ that invaded their ancestral homeland, Ukraine.
To attack and destroy the Russian manufacturing base is extremely difficult without the support of the local population. However, with support from local residents and workers it is relatively simple to infiltrate small teams of skilled operators armed with high explosives and incendiary devices and use them where they will do most damage. Small units working behind enemy lines is an excellent use of resources.
When industries that provide ammo, food, fuel, medicines, clothing, are damaged it affects the whole Russian war machine.
No one truly knows if these fires are the result of a military operation. It should stay that way. It is wise for Zelensky not to take credit for these incidents. Plausible denial is a tactic learned from the Russian method, ‘do it and deny it.’ It could be home grown Russian insurgents.
These ‘incidents’ are too frequent to be accidents. They hurt where it counts. The attacks by UA drones on border towns is an understandable escalation. The missile strikes on Black Sea oil and gas rigs also indicates a loosening of the restraint that Ukraine has shown so far by keeping most of their actions within their own borders.
Right now Ukrainian politicians know it is of vital importance to get heavy artillery and smart munitions to the front lines. This will turn the Russian army around and force them back.
Western media are constantly reporting ‘Russian advances’ using words like ‘critical’ and ‘final’ but the real situation appears to show Russia nibbling away at the Donbas front at great expense for little return, in the hope that something will give before the big guns arrive. I can’t see Ukraine cracking anywhere.
Putin talks about Lithuania, Lavrov talks about Azerbaijan, these are distractions to redirect the Russian public attention away from the heavy losses in Donbas. Russian mothers want to know where their sons are. It will be difficult for Putin to lock up the mothers of his dead heroes.
In the meantime some unknown people are making a nasty mess on the Russian back door.
Who Dares Shares!