Robin Horsfall. Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. University of Surrey, United Kingdom.
To win a war an army must destroy the enemy’s ability to mount war. This means the destruction of his forces and their ability or will to fight.
Taking ground on a map might look impressive, especially when it is coloured to look as though an area is occupied. However, taking ground does nothing to reduce enemy forces that have simply moved to another place.
All the time an army exists it is a threat regardless of the land occupied. The Romans never took the mountains in Britannia, the Americans never isiolated the NVA after the Tet Offesive, the UN never destroyed the Taliban in the mountains of Afghanistan. Regardless of the superior size of the occupying forces they failed to destroy the main enemy army or prevent them from mounting war.
In Ukraine, Russia has occupied some territory. Russia has a larger armed force than Ukraine but has done nothing effective to defeat the Ukrainian army. Ukraine’s army has grown stronger while the cost to the Russian army increases daily. When Harpoon missiles from Denmark arrive in Odessa the Russian fleet will have to retire or sink. As heavy artillery arrives in the east of Ukraine the Russians will be forced out of their defences.
The Russians are unable to fix the enemy army in one place or prevent them from fighting effectively. Taking ground is irrelevant in such circumstances. Russian Generals of poor quality have been replaced with new Generals of similar quality from the same school. They have reduced their aims downward from taking the entire nation to taking some Russian speaking towns in the east. This does not effect Ukraine’s ability to fight in any way.
While the popular media like to concentrate on coloured maps the point that is missed is whether Ukraine’s army exists and can fight. When Putin invaded Ukraine he wakened a sleeping giant. Ukraine can fight, does fight – and it will continue to fight as long as we in the west support it.
Who Dares Shares.