It is unlikely that the enemy will be able to significantly intensify the offensive in the Donbass over the next 30 days.
The Russian offensive in the Donbas has lost momentum and is well behind schedule. Russia has failed to achieve significant territorial gains over the past month while maintaining a consistently high level of attrition.
British intelligence reports .
“Now Russia has probably lost a third of the ground combat forces involved in Ukraine since February,” the statement said.
Despite small initial gains, Russia has not been able to make significant territorial gains over the past month while suffering heavy losses. British intelligence predicts that these losses are likely to be exacerbated by the loss of critical factors such as bridging equipment and reconnaissance, surveillance and reconnaissance drones.
The equipment for crossings was lacking from the very beginning of the war, slowing down and reducing the offensive maneuver.
The Russians also feel the need for more drones, as they are vulnerable to Ukrainian air defenses.
“Under the current conditions, it is unlikely that Russia will sharply accelerate the pace of advance over the next 30 days,” predicts British intelligence.