CIA director dispatched to Moscow to warn Russia over troop buildup near Ukraine

CNN

By Natasha BertrandJim Sciutto and Kylie Atwood, CNN

Updated 2311 GMT (0711 HKT) November 5, 2021

(CNN)President Joe Biden dispatched CIA Director Bill Burns to Moscow earlier this week to warn the Kremlin that the US is watching its buildup of troops near Ukraine’s border closely, and to attempt to determine what is motivating Russia’s actions.The rare trip by Burns to Russia, where he held talks with senior Kremlin security officials directly involved in the military activity, came as the US has grown increasingly concerned by Russia’s irregular movement of troops and equipment near Ukraine’s northern border, according to multiple US and Ukrainian sources briefed on the meeting.The Biden administration has ramped up its efforts in recent days to de-escalate growing tensions between Moscow and Kiev. Following his meetings in Russia, Burns spoke to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky by phone in an attempt to diffuse those tensions, the sources told CNN. A senior State Department official was also dispatched to Kiev on Thursday to support those efforts. 

Satellite photos raise concerns of Russian military build-up near Ukraine

Satellite photos raise concerns of Russian military build-up near UkraineThe flurry of high-level diplomacy underscores how seriously the Biden administration is taking the latest Russian troop movements, even after an earlier buildup in the spring ultimately did not lead to a renewed invasion. Tensions between Ukraine and Russia have also been exacerbated in recent weeks by a deepening Ukrainian energy crisis that Kiev believes Moscow has purposefully provoked. 

“The buildup, coupled with the energy blackmail, does suggest a more aggressive Russian posture,” an adviser to Zelensky told CNN.

Pentagon press secretary John Kirby said on Friday that the “scale” and “the size of the units that we’re seeing” from Russia is “unusual.”

“We continue to monitor this closely, and as I’ve said before, any escalatory or aggressive actions by Russia would be of great concern to the United States,” he said.

Burns as key intermediary

Assessments on Russia’s motives differ widely within the administration, with some sources telling CNN they believe Russia could be preparing for an invasion, while others suggest they are conducting an exercise, or simply trying to intimidate Ukraine. And publicly, Ukraine has downplayed the idea that Russia is building up its military presence near the border beyond normal levels. Russia has “established a practice of “transferring and accumulating military units for the purpose of maintaining tension in the region and political pressure on neighboring countries,” Ukraine’s Defense Ministry said on Tuesday.

But in an effort to prevent any kind of escalation, Biden dispatched Burns to Moscow on Tuesday, where he met with Kremlin officials to try to deter any plans for an offensive by conveying that the US is closely monitoring the troop movements, according to people briefed on their meeting.

Burns also brought up US concerns that Russia is close to using its gas exports as leverage, with Ukraine and other European nations forecast to suffer energy crises heading into winter. After his meetings in Moscow, Burns called Zelensky on Wednesday to convey the administration’s concerns over Russia’s behavior and reassure him that the US is closely tracking the Russian activity, according to a person with direct knowledge of the call.

Satellite images taken by Maxar Technologies on Monday demonstrate the kind of irregular Russian troop and equipment movements that US officials are worried about. The images show Russian troops, tanks and artillery massing near the Russian town of Yelnya, and the Biden administration is more concerned than it was in the spring that Russia could launch an invasion, two senior US officials said. 

Top US general meets with his Russian counterpart in Finland

Top US general meets with his Russian counterpart in FinlandIn response to questions about the satellite images, Putin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters this week that “The movement of our military equipment or army units across the territory of the Russian Federation is exclusively our business.” He added that “Russia has never threatened anyone, is not threatening, and does not pose a danger to anyone. But against the background of rather aggressive expansionist tendencies, especially on the part of NATO and other countries, Russia has always taken measures to ensure its security and will continue to do so.” But one US official told CNN that the US has “serious concerns” about the Russian build up, adding, “It would be foolish for us not to be considering the possibility of an invasion or incursion.”Another State Department official and a senior congressional aide noted that the US concerns stem largely from the fact that Russia appears to be putting pieces into place should it want to take action against Ukraine quickly.”It is certainly an unprecedented buildup, and if Russia wanted to invade Ukraine, it has the capability and capacity to overwhelm Ukrainian forces,” the aide said. “With such a large buildup, Putin could order an invasion at any time and there would be very little warning.” 

Intense outreach to allies

European diplomats in the US and Europe say that the US has been conducting intense outreach about Russia, an effort that began in just the last few days.”The administration is very, very concerned—this is the most concerned I’ve heard them about Russia in a really, really long time,” said one diplomat. “I wouldn’t underestimate this. They’re doing a massive outreach to raise awareness about this.” The concerns the US is sharing are “pretty specific” said another diplomat, who echoed others in saying that they are now being carefully and closely examined in European capitals, where perceptions of the Russian threat vary. Even so, diplomats from five different European countries acknowledged that the trendline of Russian actions in relation to Ukraine have been worrying.

Concerns over the Kremlin’s intentions stem from Russia’s invasion of the Crimean peninsula in 2014. The international community, led by the US, imposed sanctions on Russia for the subsequent illegal annexation of the Ukrainian territory, but the multilateral sanctions have done nothing to push Russia back from the peninsula. Putin has made clear his plans to keep Russian forces there, despite international opposition.”They’re definitely being taken very seriously,” the second diplomat said. “There is clearly a trend line over here — you can go back all the way to 2014, of course,” when Russia invaded Crimea. “But since the spring of this year,” a constellation of developments has drawn attention, including the Russian escalation around Ukraine, the only partial withdrawal of those troops, Russia’s move to leave some military hardware behind on the border, and a sharpening of Russian rhetoric about Ukraine.Diplomats noted an article President Vladimir Putin wrote this summer, which one diplomat described as a “revisionist manifesto” about Ukrainian history meant to fit Russian arguments and deny the foundation for a Ukrainian state. More recently, Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of Russia’s Security Council, wrote a similar article denigrating Ukraine and its leaders. 

Watching ‘with all of our capabilities’

The administration is far from reaching a consensus on Russia’s intentions, however, and other defense officials told CNN they have not seen indications that Russia is preparing for a sustained operation like an invasion. That would require supplies to be brought into the area like food, fuel and spare parts, the officials said.Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Mark Milley said this week the US wasn’t seeing anything to indicate an imminent Russian move on Ukraine, but he still expressed concern at the “significant amount” of military movements along the border. Speaking to NBC’s Lester Holt at the Aspen Security Forum, Milley said the Russian activity was “nothing overtly aggressive per se,” but he cautioned that the US is watching the movements “with all of our capabilities.”

Ukrainian officials, meanwhile, say they do not believe the US has done enough to deter Russian aggression. Kiev has been pushing the US to do more to stop the Russia-Germany gas pipeline known as Nord Stream 2 from becoming fully operational, which will allow Russia to bypass Ukraine entirely when delivering gas to Europe and, Kiev argues, make Ukraine even more vulnerable to Russian advances. But the Biden administration waived some sanctions on Nord Stream 2 earlier this year, organized a summit with Putin in June, and has been trying to find common ground with Moscow on issues like ransomware and nuclear stability. 

“The best signal the administration could send to Russia right now, to show that there are repercussions for their behavior, would be to reverse course on Nord Stream 2,” the Zelensky adviser said.US Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with Zelensky on the sidelines of the UN’s climate summit earlier this week, where they discussed joint concerns about the unusual Russian military movement and the country’s potentially coercive use of its energy supplies, a State Department official said. Those subjects will be revisited when Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba travels to Washington for talks with Blinken next week, the official said.

CNN’s Oren Liebermann, Nicole Gaouette, Katie Bo Williams, Barbara Starr, Matthew Chance and Zahra Ullah contributed to this report.

5 comments

  • Had that feckless narcissist Obama despatched a task force to Ukraine in 2014 and requested the other Budapest signatory Britain to contribute, the situation would have stabilized within weeks or months. Economic pressure could have then been applied to drive the putinazis off and we would have had calm from 2015 onwards.
    Obama’s colossal failure led to an increasing US isolationist position and the putinazis have exploited it relentlessly.
    Merkel and O’Bidenov stated that any attempt to use gas as a weapon would result in sanctions. Well the putinazis are now doing just that yet no sanctions have been applied.
    A permanent Budapest Signatories base needs to be established in Ukraine. It should have been done in 2014.

    Liked by 2 people

    • англійський масон

      I can’t see things ever getting any better until the whole katsup mindset changes, Scradge.

      Sadly something needs to be done to keep the invaders away from civilisation until they are ready to join the rest of the peaceful World and not by sacrificing any Ukrainian land either. Any separation zone needs to be on katsup land.

      Liked by 2 people

      • It’s the imperial mindset as you know Mason. Like the chicoms, they believe themselves to be superior to others and therefore should rule. The ideas of Alexandr Dugin are where putler’s ideology comes from. Dugin is a nazi in all but name.
        Brian Whitmore accurately describes putler as “the Che Guevara of the populist right”.
        I often like to update the quote from the Children’s author Charles Hamilton: “Czarism, Communism and now fascism under fuhrer putler; Russia changes its system of government periodically, but nothing else changes.”

        Liked by 1 person

        • And Putler was defending Marxism earlier this week.

          Liked by 1 person

          • Putler is a Marxist-Leninist turned fascist. You only have to add chauvinist nationalism to the first one and you get the second one; ie national socialism. Lenin and Stalin in my view were simultaneously Marxists and fascists: like Hitler, they had a supremacist mindset: they both murdered industrial quantities of people and stole lots of other people’s land. Had he lived longer, Lenin would certainly have surpassed both Hitler and Stalin in terms of death count and satanic evil.
            Lenin was a textbook psychopath. The English socialist Bertrand Russell led a delegation of influential British socialists and communist sympathizers to visit the bastard in 1921. All returned home full of praise for the monster. Except Russell himself, whose apartment was close to a Chekist torture facility. He was kept awake with the agonized screams of the victims each night.
            Russell was granted a one-to-one meeting with Lenin, who spoke perfect English. It was supposed to be 20 minutes or so but went for hours. Russell observed Lenin roaring with laughter when one of his minions came to report that yet another batch of kulaks had been strung up on trees on their own land in front of cheering workers. The farm had been ‘collectivized’.
            Russell remained a socialist (stupid arsehole) but was chilled to the bone by Lenin and became a fierce opponent. His friends were not happy.

            Liked by 1 person

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