Nothing threatens Putin’s regime more than Ukraine

ANALYSIS/OPINION:

During a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House earlier this month, President Biden “firmly committed” to supporting Ukraine’s sovereignty, territorial integrity, and “Euro-Atlantic aspiration.” The U.S. reaffirmed Ukraine’s right to decide its own foreign policy without foreign interference.  Donbass; and seized Ukrainian vessels and sailors in the Kerch straight. 

Before President Biden’s summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Russia massed troops on its border with Ukraine and conducted provocative military exercises.  

Nothing threatens Mr. Putin’s regime security more than Ukraine.  Mr. Putin does not want Ukraine to be a beacon of hope and inspiration for his own domestic opponents who are denied basic civil liberties, including freedom of expression and assembly.  Mr. Putin wants Ukraine to be so politically dismembered and territorially fractured that NATO and EU membership are forever out of the question.

Seeking to exploit Ukraine’s geostrategic vulnerabilities resulting from Russia’s pernicious and multifarious attacks, China blocked delivery of COVID-19 vaccines until Ukraine withdrew its signature from a joint UN Human Rights Council statement calling on China to admit independent observers to Xinjiang to investigate the persecution of Muslim Uighurs.  Asserting its influence as Ukraine’s leading trade partner, China negotiated agreements with Ukraine to build critical infrastructure, including roads and airports.   

China’s aspiration for global influence extends well beyond competing with the U.S. as a Pacific power.  Using its “One Belt, One Road” as cover for debt-trap diplomacy, China has set its sights on attacking the independence of nation-states from South Asia throughout the Third World.  Ukraine is in China’s crosshairs.



EU members, particularly Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, and Romania, which share a 1300 mile border with Ukraine, are increasingly at risk from the two nations the Biden administration rightly assesses constitute the greatest threats to U.S. national security. 

Time is running out for the Biden administration to take three steps or risk further erosion of Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.

First, the U.S. should turbo-boost its trade with Ukraine.  During a recent visit to the U.S., Ukraine Minister of Finance Serhii Marchenko rightly emphasized the importance of making Ukraine’s economy more competitive and resilient by increasing foreign investment.

Growing commercial ties with the U.S. would be the engine for reforming Ukraine’s state-owned enterprises, central bank, infrastructure, and judicial system. 

Mr. Marchenko expertly accomplished the precursor work, which resulted in $3 billion in support from the U.S. Export-Import Bank.  He held productive discussions with the International Monetary Fund, which lauded Ukraine’s progress in carrying out reforms and the U.S. Departments of Treasury and State.  

U.S. lawmakers have repeatedly expressed concern about Ukraine’s endemic corruption, but Mr. Marchenko makes the correct argument about expanding economic ties, especially in renewable energy, to drive better business practices.

Second, Ukraine is preparing to apply for EU membership in 2024 to join the EU in the 2030s.  This extended timeline allows too many years for Russian and Chinese incursions, which would only complicate and possibly derail Ukraine’s EU membership. The U.S. should work with our European partners to negotiate with Ukraine on speeding up the process.  

Third, laying siege to Ukraine since the Euromaidan protests began in 2013 and imposing a “frozen conflict,” which impacts the calculus of invoking Article 5, Putin accomplished his strategic goal of blocking Ukraine’s NATO membership.  Judging by President Biden’s tepid response to Zelensky’s entreaties, a NATO membership Action Plan appears out of the question for the foreseeable future, as long as the war in Donbass continues.  

The U.S., therefore, needs to double down on its military, intelligence, and strategic support for Ukraine far beyond the recent $60 million security assistance package, including Javelin shoulder-fired anti-tank missiles.   The U.S. should host senior Ukrainian defense and intelligence officials to discuss expanding these critically important relationships.  

NATO should increase its training programs’ scope, intensity, and frequency to modernize Ukraine’s military and enhance its capability. 

The U.S. should also make it a priority to ensure Ukraine and Russia negotiate a peace agreement.

Having emphatically stated Ukraine’s success is central to the global struggle between democracy and autocracy, the Biden administration must pursue an aggressive Ukraine policy or risk losing Ukraine to our adversaries.

• Daniel N. Hoffman is a retired clandestine services officer and former chief of station with the Central Intelligence Agency. His combined 30 years of government service included high-level overseas and domestic positions at the CIA. He has been a Fox News contributor since May 2018. Follow him on Twitter @DanielHoffmanDC.

(c) Washington Times

5 comments

  • “Having emphatically stated Ukraine’s success is central to the global struggle between democracy and autocracy, the Biden administration must pursue an aggressive Ukraine policy or risk losing Ukraine to our adversaries.”

    I’m afraid the US are trying to do as little as possible in helping Ukraine. The last 3 US presidents have hardly confronted Putler with devastating sanctions, and it looks like it will continue. We can forget help from the EU, now that Merkel has opened the door for the EU to be blackmailed by Russia anytime it chooses.

    Liked by 3 people

    • Ukraine has no choice but to continue building strong relationships with Turkey. Putler and his Generals fear the Bayraktars, which pounded putler’s so-called ally Armenia to shit, which is probably why they let Armenia surrender to the Azeris.

      Liked by 2 people

      • Having Turkey as a partner is not ideal, you never know which way Erdogan is going to turn next, but sometimes you take what is on offer.

        Liked by 2 people

        • Necessity is the mother of invention. Lexico:

          “When the need for something becomes imperative, you are forced to find ways of getting or achieving it”.
          A combined Ukraine-Turkey force could retake Crimea and Donbas and that’s what they should be working towards.

          Liked by 2 people

        • Russia and Turkey are both for the ass. BTW, the US is doing more than the public is aware of. It’s hidden and that is good. Canada and Poland also help alot. Ukraine does not have to be afraid, be sure.

          Liked by 3 people

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.