Do the Russians Want War?

“The Russian bear needs to smack down on the headless chicken. Hard.” Florida-based pro-Kremlin writer Andrei “The Saker” Raievsky is a frequent contributor to the EUvsDisinfo database. Now, he connects the dots(opens in a new tab) and welcomes a confrontation between Russia and the EU. The Saker explains:

  • we are fed up with you and
  • we don’t need you.

“We”, in Mr. Saker’s perspective, is “Russia”, probably not Floridians.

The Saker is gazing at the Kremlin walls, attempting to see the mene tekel(opens in a new tab). And, from his vantage point in Florida, he sees the message: The Russian Bear Has Had Enough! (Insert dramatic music). The Saker lines up an entire catalogue of what he considers messages from Russia to Europe:

  • Russia has switched to a direct and blunt language towards the EU and is slapping the face of the EU: The EU Emissary Josep Borrell was publicly humiliated and three EU Member State Diplomats were expelled. The tone of the Russian media has also changed, journalists and experts are all expressing their utter disgust(opens in a new tab) with the EU and are calling for less words and more actions;
  • Russia defused the West’s attempt to create chaos in Russia through demonstrations in support of Navalny;
  • The Russian Aerospace Forces (2 Su-24M, 2 Su-27s and 2 Su-30SM) have conducted mock missile strikes against US Navy ships as soon as they entered the southern waters of the Black Sea;
  • Defense Minister Shoigu has just announced a major increase in the production of high-precision and hypersonic weapons;
  • Russian Air Force experts publish plans to neutralize NATO forces in all-out war with bombing strikes.

Welcoming the Conflict

All those occurrences in the first two weeks of February. The Saker, safely on a distance in Florida, is virtually jumping up and down with joy with the perspective of a potential conflict between Russia and Europe:

It appears that Russia and the EU are on a direct collision course. Frankly, I welcome it, in spite of the obvious dangers.

The Saker is a passionate advocate for the Kremlin, and he is building his thesis on what is written in pro-Kremlin media. The state-run news agency RIA Novosti publishes dozens of articles a day(opens in a new tab), devoted to the NATO subject – a few examples:

Other pro-Kremlin Russian media loyally sing along(opens in a new tab):

Russian officials, just as The Saker notes, are resorting to a belligerent language. The Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs is quoting Vegetius(opens in a new tab): “If you want peace, prepare for war”. Russian MFA Spokesperson Maria Zakharova calls the demand from the European Court of Human Rights(opens in a new tab) to free Alexei Navalny an “attack on International Law(opens in a new tab) and an attempt to pressure Russia”.

The Saker’s above-mentioned plans to neutralise NATO was originally published in December 2020 in a military journal; (opens in a new tab)but the plans did not became national news until RIA Novosti for some reason chose to present the almost two month old report as “news”(opens in a new tab) on 8 February. The report was picked up by several Russian outlets the same day and by The Saker in English the next day. The article explains that Russia now has a first-strike capacity against NATO:

[Russia has the means to] inflict comprehensive defeat (upon NATO countries) using all types of weapons within the deterrence of inflicting an unacceptable complex defeat on it with all types of weapons within the framework of preventive actions under the conditions of the danger of local war threatening the Russian Federation.

Barking Dogs

Sergey Lavrov has mentioned at several occasions(opens in a new tab) that Russia is ready to sever the ties with the European Union. The EU is, according to Mr Lavrov, an unreliable partner(opens in a new tab), EU has destroyed(opens in a new tab) the framework for cooperation with Russia…

Does all of this boil down the famous Russian proverb: “The dog barks, but the caravan continues”? Russia is a major trade partner with the EU – the fourth largest after the the US, China and Switzerland: more than four percent of everything the EU exports goes to Russia. Russia’s export to the EU is even more impressive. According to the Russian Mission to the EU(opens in a new tab), 44 percent of Russia’s export goes to the European Union. The Mission’s statistics are a little outdated and the volume has shrunk, but the EU remains Russia’s top market. Russia is seriously dependent on trade with the EU.

The EU will continue to develop trade and people-to-people contacts between Russia and Europe. In 2019, before the pandemic, more than four million Schengen tourist visas were issued to Russians. Seven of the top ten most popular foreign destinations(opens in a new tab) for Russian tourists are EU countries.

The EU will remain committed to dialogue with Russia. Russia is larger than the Kremlin, and the EU is building a long term relationship with the Russian people. The Kremlin continues to violate Russia’s commitments to the UN Charter, to its obligations according to international law and its own Constitution.

This year marks the 60th anniversary of the Russian song Do the Russians Want War(opens in a new tab). The lyrics were written by the poet Yevgeniy Yevtushenko(opens in a new tab) (1933–2017) and, according to the author(opens in a new tab), initially forbidden by the Soviet authorities as “pacifist and demoralising”. Eventually the censors allowed the lyrics, and the song became a major hit(opens in a new tab), translated into several languages.

The Kremlin seems determined to militarise the public sphere. Children are dragged into military weapons training(opens in a new tab); war veterans are exploited(opens in a new tab) in political processes and the pro-Kremlin media is competing in sounding the war-drum loudest, spreading fantasies on Western aggression.

The Russians do not want war. That is a fact. The actions of the Kremlin (and Floridians) are less predictable.

(c) EU vs Disinfo


  1. This Saker guy forgot something. Should Muscovy ever commit suicide by attacking the US, his days of sitting in the Florida sun are over. Him and the Russian criminals residing in Florida, will probably end up in Guantanamo, or get sent back to the country they love so much.

  2. This deluded gimp needs to shut the fuck up, its not far from inciting terrorism.

  3. In that case there are no more excuses for the fucking krauts to continue with nordstream 2. If they do, then they should be sanctioned until they choke.

  4. Putler is a squalid little tyrant; Robert Mugabe with nukes. With just a few simple steps he could be kept in his box. But he has bought enough influence in the west to still be a serious problem to his neighbours, as he knows precisely what he can and can’t get away with. Until he makes a mistake, or until a US president comes along who will take no more of the poisonous little toad’s antics.

  5. A he wants a war,
    Real brave of him sitting in the sun in Florida talking shit to his computer.
    The irony of that is mind boggling.
    If he is such a patriot why doesn’t the little piss ant trade Miami for Crimea?

  6. We are already at war. Putin has spent his first two decades in a noisy struggle against the west. His worldview was shaped by the cold war and the Soviet Union’s supposed humiliation by the west. In this mindset, the US-led Nato alliance remains the enemy, and the Kremlin’s goal is to secure the respect in Washington it commanded before the fall of the Berlin Wall. All the while, the economic and strategic realities have been travelling in the opposite direction.
    Russia simply cannot afford another 2 decades of this folly.

  7. Mafia land reminds very much of a dog who barks like a dumbass … behind the fence. When the fence no longer separates the dog and the neighbor, the dog escapes with his tail between his legs.
    In the meantime, the chinks are laughing their asses off. While mafia land is distracted by his neighbors, barking like a dumbass, the chink crooks enter the dog’s property through the backyard.
    As far as the EU is concerned, I will waste my time further by saying; it is a dickless and ball-less entity. “The EU will remain committed to dialogue with Russia.” That says it all.

  8. I saw Saker several years ago and noted, very quickly, the man is utterly misinformed. He has a faithful following on the Unz Review and the comments he attracts are truly disturbing. As far as his columns are concerned, he’s not worth listening to. Just another metal midget trying to punch above his weight, and failing.

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